Robert Pattinson
Implied probability 33%+8
24-hour volume$593
Total volume$51k
Liquidity$51k
Resolves31 Dec 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 33% |
| 6 Nov, 07:10 UTC | 33% |
| 6 Nov, 04:34 UTC | 30% |
| 6 Nov, 01:52 UTC | 27% |
| 5 Nov, 19:14 UTC | 30% |
| 5 Nov, 18:13 UTC | 27% |
| 5 Nov, 17:13 UTC | 29% |
| 5 Nov, 13:23 UTC | 26% |
| 5 Nov, 12:59 UTC | 24% |
| 5 Nov, 02:47 UTC | 25% |
| 4 Nov, 18:04 UTC | 29% |
| 4 Nov, 17:42 UTC | 30% |
| 4 Nov, 15:13 UTC | 29% |
| 4 Nov, 10:36 UTC | 26% |
| 4 Nov, 02:56 UTC | 29% |
| 3 Nov, 23:17 UTC | 26% |
| 2 Nov, 22:02 UTC | 28% |
| 2 Nov, 18:27 UTC | 26% |
| 2 Nov, 08:01 UTC | 29% |
| 2 Nov, 05:24 UTC | 30% |
| 2 Nov, 03:06 UTC | 28% |
| 2 Nov, 02:58 UTC | 29% |
| 1 Nov, 16:29 UTC | 26% |
| 1 Nov, 04:50 UTC | 28% |
| 1 Nov, 03:04 UTC | 26% |
| 31 Oct, 13:31 UTC | 27% |
| 31 Oct, 08:07 UTC | 28% |
| 31 Oct, 04:07 UTC | 26% |
| 31 Oct, 01:32 UTC | 25% |
| 31 Oct, 01:11 UTC | 23% |
| 30 Oct, 21:53 UTC | 24% |
| 30 Oct, 18:37 UTC | 25% |
| 30 Oct, 13:58 UTC | 24% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Robert Pattinson receives a nomination for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked story about his new film as relevant to the resolution, but only Oscar nominations count.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 33%
- No 67%