Zelensky Breaches Agreement By Revealing Transfer Of North Korean POWs To South Korea
South Korea expresses regret after Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky disclosed the transfer of two captured North Korean soldiers during a UN address.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 10% |
| 26 Sept, 10:50 UTC | 10% |
| 25 Sept, 10:57 UTC | 9% |
| 24 Sept, 21:53 UTC | 9% |
| 24 Sept, 17:09 UTC | 9% |
| 23 Sept, 20:07 UTC | 9% |
| 23 Sept, 19:07 UTC | 8% |
| 23 Sept, 17:32 UTC | 8% |
| 23 Sept, 16:27 UTC | 7% |
| 23 Sept, 12:23 UTC | 8% |
| 23 Sept, 11:13 UTC | 7% |
| 22 Sept, 21:12 UTC | 8% |
| 22 Sept, 16:16 UTC | 7% |
| 22 Sept, 11:38 UTC | 8% |
| 22 Sept, 11:27 UTC | 8% |
| 21 Sept, 10:03 UTC | 10% |
| 19 Sept, 08:09 UTC | 11% |
| 15 Sept, 14:44 UTC | 12% |
| 15 Sept, 13:18 UTC | 10% |
| 13 Sept, 20:17 UTC | 9% |
| 12 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 10% |
| 11 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 11% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 25 Sept 2026. Latest articles published first, on 25 September at 01:15 UTC; kyivindependent.com followed 7h 37m later. The most recent article, from kyivindependent.com, appeared on 25 September at 08:52 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Latest articles, kyivindependent.com.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? — the market puts it at 10%, with $119 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Ukraine signs a written agreement ending hostilities or establishing a path to peace by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The document must include an official signature from an authorized Ukrainian representative and apply to the broader conflict rather than a temporary or local arrangement. Readers often mistake unrelated sanctions bills or unsigned proposals for valid resolutions.
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? — the market puts it at 12%, with $5k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Dec 2026. The market resolves to Yes if both Russia and Ukraine mutually agree to suspend direct military engagement by 11:59 PM ET on November 30, 2026. This agreement must be officially announced by both governments or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting as a general pause in the conflict.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
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- Polymarket Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? 10% +1
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- Polymarket Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? 12% −2
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In this story
- Volodymyr Zelensky
- South Korea
- Ukraine
- North Korea