Yan vs Dvalishvili Trilogy Joins UFC's Rare List Ahead of UFC 333
The bout adds to the promotion's rare list of trilogy fights as ESPN categorizes all 19 previous matchups ahead of Saturday's event.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked article; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 24 Oct, 21:19 UTC | 0% |
| 24 Oct, 20:37 UTC | 0% |
| 24 Oct, 20:23 UTC | 41% |
| 24 Oct, 19:51 UTC | 41% |
| 24 Oct, 19:17 UTC | 43% |
| 24 Oct, 17:08 UTC | 42% |
| 24 Oct, 12:40 UTC | 40% |
| 24 Oct, 11:43 UTC | 41% |
| 24 Oct, 06:58 UTC | 42% |
| 23 Oct, 19:57 UTC | 43% |
| 21 Oct, 20:49 UTC | 42% |
| 21 Oct, 00:05 UTC | 41% |
| 20 Oct, 22:24 UTC | 42% |
| 20 Oct, 21:20 UTC | 40% |
| 20 Oct, 19:41 UTC | 40% |
| 20 Oct, 19:14 UTC | 40% |
| 20 Oct, 14:33 UTC | 40% |
| 12 Oct, 12:05 UTC | 39% |
| 12 Oct, 10:41 UTC | 38% |
| 12 Oct, 09:53 UTC | 39% |
| 11 Oct, 09:46 UTC | 37% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 19 Oct 2026. www.espn.com published first, on 19 October at 14:00 UTC.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card) — resolved “Petr Yan” on 24 Oct 2026. Merab Dvalishvili wins if he is officially declared the winner of the fight at UFC 333. Petr Yan wins if he is officially declared the winner. Readers often mistake the postponement deadline of November 7, 2026, for the fight date.
- Merab Dvalishvili — resolved “No” on 24 Oct 2026. The outcome is Yes if Merab Dvalishvili wins the professional MMA fight against Petr Yan. The outcome is No if he does not win that specific bout. Readers often mistake the original scheduled date of October 24, 2026, for a hard deadline rather than just an identifier for the event.
- Will Merab Dvalishvili be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? — the market puts it at 3%, with $2k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. For the Yes outcome, Merab Dvalishvili must hold the official UFC Bantamweight title at 12:00 PM ET on December 31, 2026. The No outcome applies if he does not hold the belt at that exact time or if the division is vacant. Readers often mistake interim champions for full champions, but only the primary title holder counts toward resolution.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Resolved UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card) Petr Yan 13d ago
The market favoured Petr Yan at 58% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Resolved Merab Dvalishvili No 14d ago
The market favoured No at 57% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Polymarket Will Merab Dvalishvili be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? 3% −37
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
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Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
In this story
- Petr Yan
- Merab Dvalishvili
- UFC