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Merab Dvalishvili

Implied probability 1%−42
24-hour volume$3.2M
Total volume$4.2M
Liquidity$4.2M
Resolves26 Oct 2026

Does the market have this right?

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What counts

The outcome is Yes if Merab Dvalishvili wins the professional MMA fight against Petr Yan. The outcome is No if he does not win that specific bout. Readers often mistake the original scheduled date of October 24, 2026, for a hard deadline rather than just an identifier for the event.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 1%
  • No 99%

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