UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)
The market favoured Petr Yan at 58% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$1.5M
Total volume$148k
Liquidity$101k
Resolved25 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 24 Oct, 21:19 UTC | 0% |
| 24 Oct, 20:37 UTC | 0% |
| 24 Oct, 20:23 UTC | 41% |
| 24 Oct, 19:51 UTC | 41% |
| 24 Oct, 19:17 UTC | 43% |
| 24 Oct, 17:08 UTC | 42% |
| 24 Oct, 12:40 UTC | 40% |
| 24 Oct, 11:43 UTC | 41% |
| 24 Oct, 06:58 UTC | 42% |
| 23 Oct, 19:57 UTC | 43% |
| 21 Oct, 20:49 UTC | 42% |
| 21 Oct, 00:05 UTC | 41% |
| 20 Oct, 22:24 UTC | 42% |
| 20 Oct, 21:20 UTC | 40% |
What counts
Merab Dvalishvili wins if he is officially declared the winner of the fight at UFC 333. Petr Yan wins if he is officially declared the winner. Readers often mistake the postponement deadline of November 7, 2026, for the fight date.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Merab Dvalishvili 0%
- Petr Yan 100%
View this market on Polymarket →