Petr Yan Retains UFC Bantamweight Title Against Merab Dvalishvili
Yan defeats Dvalishvili by unanimous decision in Abu Dhabi, despite the challenger gaining 19lb shortly after weigh-ins.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 24 Oct, 21:19 UTC | 0% |
| 24 Oct, 20:37 UTC | 0% |
| 24 Oct, 20:23 UTC | 41% |
| 24 Oct, 19:51 UTC | 41% |
| 24 Oct, 19:17 UTC | 43% |
| 24 Oct, 17:08 UTC | 42% |
| 24 Oct, 12:40 UTC | 40% |
| 24 Oct, 11:43 UTC | 41% |
| 24 Oct, 06:58 UTC | 42% |
| 23 Oct, 19:57 UTC | 43% |
| 21 Oct, 20:49 UTC | 42% |
| 21 Oct, 00:05 UTC | 41% |
| 20 Oct, 22:24 UTC | 42% |
| 20 Oct, 21:20 UTC | 40% |
| 20 Oct, 19:41 UTC | 40% |
| 20 Oct, 19:14 UTC | 40% |
| 20 Oct, 14:33 UTC | 40% |
| 12 Oct, 12:05 UTC | 39% |
| 12 Oct, 10:41 UTC | 38% |
| 12 Oct, 09:53 UTC | 39% |
| 11 Oct, 09:46 UTC | 37% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card) respond.
The story so far
4 publishers have covered this in 6 articles since 21 Oct 2026. CBS Sports Headlines published first, on 21 October at 18:03 UTC; SI Feed followed 43h 39m later. The most recent article, from SI Feed, appeared on 26 October at 16:36 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: CBS Sports Headlines, SI Feed, BBC Sport, feeds.bleacherreport.com.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card) — resolved “Petr Yan” on 24 Oct 2026. Merab Dvalishvili wins if he is officially declared the winner of the fight at UFC 333. Petr Yan wins if he is officially declared the winner. Readers often mistake the postponement deadline of November 7, 2026, for the fight date.
- Fight to Go the Distance? — resolved “Yes” on 24 Oct 2026. The Yes outcome requires the fight to complete all scheduled rounds and end with a judges' decision, including draws. The No outcome applies if the fight ends early by knockout or submission, or via a technical decision before the final round. Readers often mistake the resolution source, but only official UFC information counts.
- Petr Yan — the market puts it at 97%, with $110 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Dec 2026. The outcome is Yes if Petr Yan holds the UFC Bantamweight Title on December 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the date of the linked news story for the resolution deadline.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card) at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- CBS Sports HeadlinesMerab Dvalishvili looks to make history in trilogy bout with Petr Yan at UFC 333: 'Age is just a number'41%
- SI FeedUFC 333 Star Merab Dvalishvili Reveals Shocking Weight Gain Hours After Weigh-Ins42%▲1 points since the previous source
- BBC SportDvalishvili gains 19lb in five hours before title fight42%
- feeds.bleacherreport.comPetr Yan Beats Merab Dvalishvili, Judges' Scorecards, Stats & UFC 333 Highlights41%
- CBS Sports HeadlinesUFC 333 results: Petr Yan outduels Merab Dvalishvili to retain title in Fight of the Year contender0%▼41 points since the previous source
- SI FeedMerab Dvalishvili Eyes Quick Turnaround After UFC 333 Loss to Petr Yan0%
- Market resolved: Petr Yan
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Merab Dvalishvili Eyes Quick Turnaround After UFC 333 Loss to Petr Yan SI Feed
- UFC 333 results: Petr Yan outduels Merab Dvalishvili to retain title in Fight of the Year contender CBS Sports Headlines
- Petr Yan Beats Merab Dvalishvili, Judges' Scorecards, Stats & UFC 333 Highlights feeds.bleacherreport.com
- Dvalishvili gains 19lb in five hours before title fight BBC Sport
- UFC 333 Star Merab Dvalishvili Reveals Shocking Weight Gain Hours After Weigh-Ins SI Feed
- Merab Dvalishvili looks to make history in trilogy bout with Petr Yan at UFC 333: 'Age is just a number' CBS Sports Headlines
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Resolved UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card) Petr Yan 13d ago
The market favoured Petr Yan at 58% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Resolved Fight to Go the Distance? Yes 13d ago
The market favoured Yes at 70% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Petr Yan 97% −1
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
In this story
- Petr Yan
- Merab Dvalishvili
- UFC