Fight to Go the Distance?
The market favoured Yes at 70% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$16k
Total volume$16k
Liquidity$0
Resolved25 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 24 Oct, 20:37 UTC | 100% |
| 24 Oct, 20:23 UTC | 78% |
| 24 Oct, 19:58 UTC | 69% |
| 23 Oct, 19:58 UTC | 70% |
What counts
The Yes outcome requires the fight to complete all scheduled rounds and end with a judges' decision, including draws. The No outcome applies if the fight ends early by knockout or submission, or via a technical decision before the final round. Readers often mistake the resolution source, but only official UFC information counts.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 100%
- No 0%
View this market on Polymarket →