Venezuela’s Interim President Promises Elections at UN as Opposition Leader Blocked from Return

The story so far

7 publishers have covered this in 10 articles since 23 Sept 2026. Latest articles published first, on 23 September at 04:12 UTC; South China Morning Post followed 33 min later. The most recent article, from Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera, appeared on 24 September at 09:31 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: CBS News (major outlet), The Hill News (major outlet), Bloomberg Markets (major outlet), Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), NPR World (major outlet), Latest articles, South China Morning Post.

3 prediction markets price this story:

• Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? — the market puts it at 92%, with $1 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Dec 2026. For the market to resolve to Yes, Delcy Rodríguez must exercise primary executive authority over Venezuela’s government and armed forces on December 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET. For a No outcome, another individual or no one must hold that effective control at that specific moment.
• Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? — the market puts it at 60%, with $18k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves based on who officially holds the position of head of state in Venezuela at 12 PM ET on December 31, 2026. Readers often mistake a person’s appointment date or media reports for the actual moment they assume power, but only confirmed, sworn-in leaders count. If the Venezuelan government does not clearly identify its head of state, the United Nations list serves as the final authority.
• Delcy Rodríguez — the market puts it at 23%, with $4k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Dec 2026. The outcome is Yes if Delcy Rodríguez officially holds the position of head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. The outcome is No if she does not hold that specific position at that exact time. Readers often mistake the linked news story about elections for the actual condition, but only her official status as head of state on the deadline matters.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.