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Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?

Implied probability 93%−1
Total volume$116k
Liquidity$20k
Resolves31 Dec 2026
How the odds moved · Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?
0%50%100%93%23 Sept, 03:43 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now93%
25 Sept, 17:34 UTC93%
25 Sept, 16:19 UTC93%
25 Sept, 13:33 UTC93%
25 Sept, 12:11 UTC93%
25 Sept, 09:17 UTC93%
25 Sept, 08:20 UTC93%
25 Sept, 05:10 UTC93%
25 Sept, 03:50 UTC93%
25 Sept, 00:59 UTC93%
25 Sept, 00:06 UTC93%
24 Sept, 21:10 UTC93%
24 Sept, 19:56 UTC93%
24 Sept, 16:40 UTC93%
24 Sept, 15:32 UTC93%
24 Sept, 12:42 UTC93%
24 Sept, 11:26 UTC93%
24 Sept, 08:22 UTC93%
24 Sept, 07:04 UTC93%
24 Sept, 04:01 UTC93%
24 Sept, 03:00 UTC93%
23 Sept, 19:39 UTC93%
23 Sept, 18:06 UTC93%
23 Sept, 15:24 UTC93%
23 Sept, 13:56 UTC93%
23 Sept, 12:39 UTC93%
23 Sept, 10:42 UTC93%
23 Sept, 03:43 UTC93%

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What counts

For the market to resolve to Yes, Delcy Rodríguez must exercise primary executive authority over Venezuela’s government and armed forces on December 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET. For a No outcome, another individual or no one must hold that effective control at that specific moment.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 93%
  • No 8%

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