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US Adds 29,000 Jobs in September as Unemployment Rises to 4.2 Percent

The US economy added 29,000 jobs in September, missing forecasts and raising unemployment to 4.2 percent, easing fears of further Federal Reserve rate hikes.

13 publishers · 26 articles · first seen 30 Sept 2026 · updated 35d ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

First reported by Quartz, 1 min ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first

This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day

The odds

How the odds moved · Above 58.50%
0%50%100%99%1 Oct, 12:12 UTCnowBloomberg Markets: EM Assets Find Relief as US Jobs Data Eases Rate Fears · 2 Oct, 21:42 UTCThe Hill: September jobs report misses expectations · 2 Oct, 21:39 UTCBloomberg Markets: US Job Growth Falls Short of Forecasts · 2 Oct, 19:19 UTCAl Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera: US job growth slows as unemployment rises before midterm elections · 2 Oct, 16:20 UTCBloomberg Markets: US Job Growth Falls Short of Forecasts as Firms Remain Cautious · 2 Oct, 15:55 UTCNews Feed: Weak US payrolls likely to keep rate setters on the sidelines in October · 2 Oct, 14:01 UTCBloomberg Markets: US Adds 29,000 Jobs in September, Jobless Rate Rises · 2 Oct, 12:49 UTCJust In News: US economy added 29,000 jobs in September: BLS · 2 Oct, 12:44 UTCThe Guardian US: US added just 29,000 jobs in September in sharp drop from last month’s gains · 2 Oct, 12:44 UTCNews Feed: US economy adds just 29,000 jobs in September as hiring slows sharply · 2 Oct, 12:35 UTCWashington Post Business: U.S. economy added 29,000 jobs in September, signaling a slower labor market · 2 Oct, 12:34 UTCCoinDesk: U.S. added just 29,000 jobs in September. with unemployment rate rising to 4.2% · 2 Oct, 12:31 UTCBloomberg Markets: US Jobs Preview: What to Watch for in the September Report · 2 Oct, 10:12 UTCAll Content from Business Insider: Data centers and healthcare were bright spots in the rough September jobs report · 2 Oct, 17:57 UTCTimes of India: ‘Workers growing increasingly anxious’: US adds 29k jobs, far below 90k expected · 2 Oct, 14:08 UTCTimes of India: US job growth slows sharply in September, unemployment rate rises to 4.2% · 2 Oct, 13:50 UTCQuartz: Treasury yields sink after weak September jobs report dims October Fed hike odds · 2 Oct, 13:20 UTCSouth China Morning Post: US job growth slows sharply in September, unemployment rises · 2 Oct, 13:14 UTCDeadline: U.S. Job Growth Slowed To 29,000 In September, With Slight Dip In Movie And Music Employment · 2 Oct, 12:46 UTCQuartz: U.S. economy added 29,000 jobs in September, unemployment held at 4.2% · 2 Oct, 12:40 UTCQuartz: Wall Street futures rise ahead of September jobs report as oil extends losses · 2 Oct, 11:30 UTCQuartz: U.S. companies announced the fewest September job cuts since 2022, down 20% · 1 Oct, 13:43 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story · 4 more published before price tracking began

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now99%
1 Oct, 12:12 UTC99%

The story so far

13 publishers have covered this in 26 articles since 30 Sept 2026. Quartz published first, on 30 September at 12:40 UTC; Bloomberg Markets followed 1 min later. The most recent article, from Bloomberg Markets, appeared on 2 October at 21:42 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: Bloomberg Markets (major outlet), CoinDesk (major outlet), Washington Post Business (major outlet), News Feed (major outlet), The Guardian US (major outlet), The Hill (major outlet), Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), Quartz, Fortune, Deadline, South China Morning Post, Times of India and 1 more, all listed under Sources below.

One prediction market prices this story:

  • Above 58.50% — the market puts it at 99%, closing 8 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if the U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2026 exceeds 58.50%. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked September jobs report for the relevant data, but only the December 2026 participation rate matters.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Above 58.50% at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

  1. QuartzU.S. private sector added 90,000 jobs in September, beating forecasts, ADP says—
  2. Bloomberg MarketsUS Companies Added 90,000 Jobs in September: ADP—
  3. Bloomberg MarketsUS Companies Announce Fewest Job Cuts for a September Since 2022—
  4. FortuneU.S. added 90,000 jobs last month, says ADP—including in manufacturing and construction, where trade bosses say six-figure jobs are sitting empty—
  5. QuartzU.S. companies announced the fewest September job cuts since 2022, down 20%99%
  6. Bloomberg MarketsUS Jobs Preview: What to Watch for in the September Report99%
  7. QuartzWall Street futures rise ahead of September jobs report as oil extends losses99%
  8. CoinDeskU.S. added just 29,000 jobs in September. with unemployment rate rising to 4.2%99%
  9. Washington Post BusinessU.S. economy added 29,000 jobs in September, signaling a slower labor market99%
  10. News FeedUS economy adds just 29,000 jobs in September as hiring slows sharply99%
  11. Show 16 later sources
    1. QuartzU.S. economy added 29,000 jobs in September, unemployment held at 4.2%99%
    2. The Guardian USUS added just 29,000 jobs in September in sharp drop from last month’s gains99%
    3. Just In NewsUS economy added 29,000 jobs in September: BLS99%
    4. DeadlineU.S. Job Growth Slowed To 29,000 In September, With Slight Dip In Movie And Music Employment99%
    5. Bloomberg MarketsUS Adds 29,000 Jobs in September, Jobless Rate Rises99%
    6. South China Morning PostUS job growth slows sharply in September, unemployment rises99%
    7. QuartzTreasury yields sink after weak September jobs report dims October Fed hike odds99%
    8. Times of IndiaUS job growth slows sharply in September, unemployment rate rises to 4.2%99%
    9. News FeedWeak US payrolls likely to keep rate setters on the sidelines in October99%
    10. Times of India‘Workers growing increasingly anxious’: US adds 29k jobs, far below 90k expected99%
    11. Bloomberg MarketsUS Job Growth Falls Short of Forecasts as Firms Remain Cautious99%
    12. Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraUS job growth slows as unemployment rises before midterm elections99%
    13. All Content from Business InsiderData centers and healthcare were bright spots in the rough September jobs report99%
    14. Bloomberg MarketsUS Job Growth Falls Short of Forecasts99%
    15. The HillSeptember jobs report misses expectations99%
    16. Bloomberg MarketsEM Assets Find Relief as US Jobs Data Eases Rate Fears99%
  12. Current odds99%

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. EM Assets Find Relief as US Jobs Data Eases Rate Fears Bloomberg Markets ·
  2. September jobs report misses expectations The Hill ·
  3. US Job Growth Falls Short of Forecasts Bloomberg Markets ·
  4. US job growth slows as unemployment rises before midterm elections Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
  5. US Job Growth Falls Short of Forecasts as Firms Remain Cautious Bloomberg Markets ·
  6. Weak US payrolls likely to keep rate setters on the sidelines in October News Feed ·
Show 20 more sources
  1. US Adds 29,000 Jobs in September, Jobless Rate Rises Bloomberg Markets ·
  2. US economy added 29,000 jobs in September: BLS Just In News ·
  3. US added just 29,000 jobs in September in sharp drop from last month’s gains The Guardian US ·
  4. US economy adds just 29,000 jobs in September as hiring slows sharply News Feed ·
  5. U.S. economy added 29,000 jobs in September, signaling a slower labor market Washington Post Business ·
  6. U.S. added just 29,000 jobs in September. with unemployment rate rising to 4.2% CoinDesk ·
  7. US Jobs Preview: What to Watch for in the September Report Bloomberg Markets ·
  8. US Companies Announce Fewest Job Cuts for a September Since 2022 Bloomberg Markets ·
  9. US Companies Added 90,000 Jobs in September: ADP Bloomberg Markets ·
  10. Data centers and healthcare were bright spots in the rough September jobs report All Content from Business Insider
  11. ‘Workers growing increasingly anxious’: US adds 29k jobs, far below 90k expected Times of India
  12. US job growth slows sharply in September, unemployment rate rises to 4.2% Times of India
  13. Treasury yields sink after weak September jobs report dims October Fed hike odds Quartz
  14. US job growth slows sharply in September, unemployment rises South China Morning Post
  15. U.S. Job Growth Slowed To 29,000 In September, With Slight Dip In Movie And Music Employment Deadline
  16. U.S. economy added 29,000 jobs in September, unemployment held at 4.2% Quartz
  17. Wall Street futures rise ahead of September jobs report as oil extends losses Quartz
  18. U.S. companies announced the fewest September job cuts since 2022, down 20% Quartz
  19. U.S. added 90,000 jobs last month, says ADP—including in manufacturing and construction, where trade bosses say six-figure jobs are sitting empty Fortune
  20. U.S. private sector added 90,000 jobs in September, beating forecasts, ADP says Quartz

Related prediction markets

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  • Kalshi Above 58.50% 99% $0 24hends 8 Jan 2027

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