Above 58.50%
Implied probability 98%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$3k
Resolves8 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 98% |
| 30 Oct, 20:37 UTC | 98% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2026 exceeds 58.50%. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked September jobs report for the relevant data, but only the December 2026 participation rate matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 98%
- No 2%