Trump Names Jay Clayton to Lead New Super Intelligence Force
President Trump appoints Director of National Intelligence Jay Clayton to head the new task force coordinating federal AI efforts.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by Cointelegraph.com News, 14 min ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 5% |
| 11 Oct, 12:05 UTC | 5% |
| 9 Oct, 23:25 UTC | 13% |
| 9 Oct, 09:34 UTC | 7% |
| 2 Oct, 15:44 UTC | 9% |
| 2 Oct, 03:42 UTC | 10% |
| 2 Oct, 00:03 UTC | 6% |
| 1 Oct, 17:14 UTC | 11% |
| 1 Oct, 15:50 UTC | 4% |
| 1 Oct, 15:27 UTC | 9% |
| 30 Sept, 21:31 UTC | 18% |
| 30 Sept, 05:31 UTC | 22% |
| 30 Sept, 02:51 UTC | 19% |
| 29 Sept, 23:46 UTC | 18% |
| 29 Sept, 21:32 UTC | 25% |
| 29 Sept, 20:49 UTC | 26% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 27% |
| 27 Sept, 02:08 UTC | 13% |
| 26 Sept, 21:24 UTC | 12% |
| 26 Sept, 03:23 UTC | 11% |
| 24 Sept, 18:09 UTC | 24% |
| 24 Sept, 17:34 UTC | 34% |
| 24 Sept, 15:32 UTC | 35% |
| 24 Sept, 14:28 UTC | 38% |
| 24 Sept, 11:34 UTC | 33% |
| 24 Sept, 10:12 UTC | 34% |
| 24 Sept, 09:29 UTC | 33% |
| 24 Sept, 04:49 UTC | 60% |
| 24 Sept, 03:46 UTC | 53% |
| 24 Sept, 03:26 UTC | 58% |
| 24 Sept, 02:44 UTC | 77% |
| 24 Sept, 01:51 UTC | 37% |
| 24 Sept, 00:41 UTC | 15% |
| 23 Sept, 23:41 UTC | 14% |
| 23 Sept, 22:40 UTC | 11% |
| 23 Sept, 19:54 UTC | 10% |
| 23 Sept, 18:06 UTC | 6% |
| 23 Sept, 14:40 UTC | 8% |
| 22 Sept, 11:56 UTC | 7% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Before Jan 1, 2027 respond.
The story so far
12 publishers have covered this in 16 articles since 4 Oct 2026. Cointelegraph.com News published first, on 4 October at 13:48 UTC; Fortune followed 15 min later. The most recent article, from Times of India, appeared on 11 October at 02:34 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The Hill (major outlet), Washington Post (major outlet), TechCrunch (major outlet), NPR Politics (major outlet), politico.com (major outlet), Cointelegraph.com News, Fortune, Engadget, decrypt.co, BBC Technology, France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines, Times of India.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Before Jan 1, 2027 — the market puts it at 5%, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump explicitly calls for or endorses a global pause, pacing, or slowdown in frontier AI development before January 1, 2027. It resolves to No if he does not make such a statement by that date. Readers often mistake general criticism of AI or unrelated remarks about 'super intelligence' for the required explicit endorsement of a developmental pause.
- AI / Artificial Intelligence — resolved “No” on 11 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump explicitly mentions artificial intelligence during his Midterm Rally in Syracuse, New York, which is scheduled for October 9, 2026. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistakenly believe that any general discussion of AI or quantum computing by the administration counts toward the resolution, but only a specific mention by Trump at this rally matters.
- NASA — the market puts it at 8%, closing 20 Jan 2029. The outcome is Yes if NASA ceases to exist before January 20, 2029. The outcome is No if NASA remains operational on that date. Readers often mistake the linked news story about Microsoft and Adobe for the relevant event, but only NASA's status matters.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Before Jan 1, 2027 at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- Cointelegraph.com NewsTrump taps intel chief Jay Clayton to lead new Super Intelligence Force9%
- FortuneTrump names national intelligence director Jay Clayton to lead new ‘Super Intelligence Force’ on AI9%
- Just In NewsTrump announces 'Super Intelligence Force' led by DNI Jay Clayton9%
- Washington PostTrump launches ‘Super Intelligence Force’ after calls for AI slowdown9%
- TechCrunchTrump unveils his new Super Intelligence Force9%
- EngadgetTrump announces an AI czar for his newly created 'Super Intelligence Force'9%
- decrypt.coTrump Taps Jay Clayton, the SEC Chair Who Sued Ripple, to Lead AI Push9%
- NPR PoliticsTrump names national intelligence chief Jay Clayton as new AI czar9%
- BBC TechnologyTrump chooses top spy boss to run new AI taskforce9%
- France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesTrump names Jay Clayton as AI czar to lead 'Super Intelligence Force'9%
Show 6 later sources
- France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesTrump names head of new 'Super Intelligence Force' to oversee AI9%
- The Hill NewsTrump’s ‘Super Intelligence Force’ takes shape9%
- politico.comRead the charter for the White House’s ‘Super Intelligence Force’9%
- The HillWhy Trump chose these leaders to head his 'Super Intelligence Force'9%
- Washington PostTrump’s ‘Super Intelligence Force’ wants safety without slowing innovation9%
- Times of IndiaSalesforce CEO renames company’s biggest product after US govt's 'enemy post'13%▲4 points since the previous source
- Current odds5%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Trump’s ‘Super Intelligence Force’ wants safety without slowing innovation Washington Post ·
- Why Trump chose these leaders to head his 'Super Intelligence Force' The Hill ·
- Read the charter for the White House’s ‘Super Intelligence Force’ politico.com ·
- Trump’s ‘Super Intelligence Force’ takes shape The Hill News ·
- Trump names national intelligence chief Jay Clayton as new AI czar NPR Politics ·
- Trump unveils his new Super Intelligence Force TechCrunch ·
Show 10 more sources
- Trump launches ‘Super Intelligence Force’ after calls for AI slowdown Washington Post ·
- Trump announces 'Super Intelligence Force' led by DNI Jay Clayton Just In News ·
- Salesforce CEO renames company’s biggest product after US govt's 'enemy post' Times of India
- Trump names head of new 'Super Intelligence Force' to oversee AI France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
- Trump names Jay Clayton as AI czar to lead 'Super Intelligence Force' France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
- Trump chooses top spy boss to run new AI taskforce BBC Technology
- Trump Taps Jay Clayton, the SEC Chair Who Sued Ripple, to Lead AI Push decrypt.co
- Trump announces an AI czar for his newly created 'Super Intelligence Force' Engadget
- Trump names national intelligence director Jay Clayton to lead new ‘Super Intelligence Force’ on AI Fortune
- Trump taps intel chief Jay Clayton to lead new Super Intelligence Force Cointelegraph.com News
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Before Jan 1, 2027 5%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Resolved AI / Artificial Intelligence No 27d ago
The market favoured No at 99% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Kalshi NASA 8%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Donald Trump
- Jay Clayton
- Super Intelligence Force