Trump Admin Announces $6B AI and Quantum Computing Push
The White House outlines a science initiative featuring $2.4 billion in industry computing pledges, quantum competitions, and revived STEM fellowships.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by Quartz, 1h 41m ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 5% |
| 11 Oct, 12:05 UTC | 5% |
| 9 Oct, 23:25 UTC | 13% |
| 9 Oct, 09:34 UTC | 7% |
| 2 Oct, 15:44 UTC | 9% |
| 2 Oct, 03:42 UTC | 10% |
| 2 Oct, 00:03 UTC | 6% |
| 1 Oct, 17:14 UTC | 11% |
| 1 Oct, 15:50 UTC | 4% |
| 1 Oct, 15:27 UTC | 9% |
| 30 Sept, 21:31 UTC | 18% |
| 30 Sept, 05:31 UTC | 22% |
| 30 Sept, 02:51 UTC | 19% |
| 29 Sept, 23:46 UTC | 18% |
| 29 Sept, 21:32 UTC | 25% |
| 29 Sept, 20:49 UTC | 26% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 27% |
| 27 Sept, 02:08 UTC | 13% |
| 26 Sept, 21:24 UTC | 12% |
| 26 Sept, 03:23 UTC | 11% |
| 24 Sept, 18:09 UTC | 24% |
| 24 Sept, 17:34 UTC | 34% |
| 24 Sept, 15:32 UTC | 35% |
| 24 Sept, 14:28 UTC | 38% |
| 24 Sept, 11:34 UTC | 33% |
| 24 Sept, 10:12 UTC | 34% |
| 24 Sept, 09:29 UTC | 33% |
| 24 Sept, 04:49 UTC | 60% |
| 24 Sept, 03:46 UTC | 53% |
| 24 Sept, 03:26 UTC | 58% |
| 24 Sept, 02:44 UTC | 77% |
| 24 Sept, 01:51 UTC | 37% |
| 24 Sept, 00:41 UTC | 15% |
| 23 Sept, 23:41 UTC | 14% |
| 23 Sept, 22:40 UTC | 11% |
| 23 Sept, 19:54 UTC | 10% |
| 23 Sept, 18:06 UTC | 6% |
| 23 Sept, 14:40 UTC | 8% |
| 22 Sept, 11:56 UTC | 7% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Before Jan 1, 2027 respond.
The story so far
5 publishers have covered this in 7 articles since 7 Oct 2026. Quartz published first, on 7 October at 12:40 UTC; All Content from Business Insider followed 1h 41m later. The most recent article, from Quartz, appeared on 9 October at 12:40 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: politico.com (major outlet), Latest News from Science Magazine (major outlet), Quartz, All Content from Business Insider, Cointelegraph.com News.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Before Jan 1, 2027 — the market puts it at 5%, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump explicitly calls for or endorses a global pause, pacing, or slowdown in frontier AI development before January 1, 2027. It resolves to No if he does not make such a statement by that date. Readers often mistake general criticism of AI or unrelated remarks about 'super intelligence' for the required explicit endorsement of a developmental pause.
- Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin — resolved “No” on 9 Oct 2026.
- AI / Artificial Intelligence — resolved “No” on 11 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump explicitly mentions artificial intelligence during his Midterm Rally in Syracuse, New York, which is scheduled for October 9, 2026. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistakenly believe that any general discussion of AI or quantum computing by the administration counts toward the resolution, but only a specific mention by Trump at this rally matters.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Before Jan 1, 2027 at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- QuartzNational Compute is donating $100 million in computing credits to Trump's AI science initiative9%
- All Content from Business InsiderTrump admin to receive $100 million in compute credits for AI science initiative9%
- QuartzTrump is set to announce $100 million-plus in STEM fellowships for American PhD students9%
- politico.comTech firms pledge $2.4B in computing power to Trump’s Genesis Mission9%
- Latest News from Science MagazineDepartment of Energy expands ‘Genesis Mission’ to boost AI, awarding larger grants9%
- Cointelegraph.com NewsTrump administration outlines quantum, AI initiatives in $6B science push9%
- QuartzNvidia is committing $1 billion to U.S. science over 5 years7%▼2 points since the previous source
- Current odds5%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Department of Energy expands ‘Genesis Mission’ to boost AI, awarding larger grants Latest News from Science Magazine ·
- Tech firms pledge $2.4B in computing power to Trump’s Genesis Mission politico.com ·
- Nvidia is committing $1 billion to U.S. science over 5 years Quartz
- Trump administration outlines quantum, AI initiatives in $6B science push Cointelegraph.com News
- Trump is set to announce $100 million-plus in STEM fellowships for American PhD students Quartz
- Trump admin to receive $100 million in compute credits for AI science initiative All Content from Business Insider
- National Compute is donating $100 million in computing credits to Trump's AI science initiative Quartz
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Before Jan 1, 2027 5%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Resolved Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin No 29d ago
The market favoured No at 97% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Resolved AI / Artificial Intelligence No 27d ago
The market favoured No at 99% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Email me when the odds move
In this story
- Donald Trump
- Genesis Mission
- White House
- National Science Foundation
- Jane Street