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Tom Cruise’s Digger Divides Critics at Royal Premiere

Early reactions to Alejandro González Iñárritu's satirical film are sharply divided, with critics calling it both a brave masterpiece and a baffling misfire ahead of its October release.

5 publishers · 8 articles · first seen 22 Sept 2026 · updated 44d ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

First reported by IndieWire, 1 min ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first

This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day

The odds

How the odds moved · Digger
0%50%100%23%22 Sept, 14:27 UTCnowThe Hollywood Reporter: Neil Jordan on Tom Cruise’s ‘Interview with the Vampire’ Casting Controversy: “He Liked the Challenge of Proving Them Wrong” · 23 Sept, 21:43 UTCVariety: Tom Cruise Is the Last Great Movie Star Still Chasing His Oscar. Can He Overcome ‘Digger’ Reviews to Get Him There? · 23 Sept, 15:30 UTCThe Hollywood Reporter: ‘Digger’: Tom Cruise’s “Brave Gorgeous Misfire” Gets Very Mixed First Reactions · 23 Sept, 13:26 UTCVariety: Tom Cruise Welcomes Prince William and Kate Middleton at ‘Digger’ World Premiere in London: ‘We Love Them and Really Appreciate What They Do for the Arts’ · 22 Sept, 22:54 UTCVariety: ‘Digger’ First Reactions Split Over Tom Cruise’s ‘Baffling,’ ‘Unpleasant’ and ‘Brave’ New Movie: ‘The Divide on This Is Going to Be Wide’ · 22 Sept, 21:35 UTCNME: Tom Cruise’s “baffling” ‘Digger’ performance is dividing critics · 23 Sept, 09:10 UTCDeadline: Tom Cruise’s ‘Digger’ World Premiere Was A Royal Affair With Prince William & Kate Middleton · 23 Sept, 02:30 UTCIndieWire: ‘Digger’ First Reactions Divide Critics: ‘Audacious,’ ‘Hollow Misfire,’ and ‘Massive Swing’ with Tom Cruise’s ‘Best Performance’ in Years · 22 Sept, 21:33 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now23%
25 Sept, 16:19 UTC24%
25 Sept, 15:08 UTC24%
25 Sept, 12:38 UTC26%
25 Sept, 12:04 UTC19%
25 Sept, 09:24 UTC24%
25 Sept, 08:46 UTC19%
25 Sept, 05:43 UTC25%
25 Sept, 03:17 UTC21%
25 Sept, 01:33 UTC26%
25 Sept, 01:26 UTC25%
24 Sept, 23:59 UTC24%
24 Sept, 21:10 UTC23%
24 Sept, 20:10 UTC20%
24 Sept, 12:55 UTC17%
24 Sept, 05:05 UTC18%
24 Sept, 03:46 UTC16%
24 Sept, 03:07 UTC15%
23 Sept, 20:13 UTC14%
23 Sept, 17:11 UTC16%
23 Sept, 16:27 UTC15%
23 Sept, 15:37 UTC13%
22 Sept, 14:27 UTC23%

The story so far

5 publishers have covered this in 8 articles since 22 Sept 2026. IndieWire published first, on 22 September at 21:33 UTC; Variety followed 2 min later. The most recent article, from The Hollywood Reporter, appeared on 23 September at 21:43 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: Variety (major outlet), The Hollywood Reporter (major outlet), IndieWire, Deadline, NME.

3 prediction markets price this story:

  • Digger — the market puts it at 23%, with $226 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Dec 2027. The market resolves to Yes if the film Digger receives a nomination for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the premiere date or critical reception for the resolution criteria, but only an official Oscar nomination counts.
  • Digger — the market puts it at 31%, with $11 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Dec 2027. The market resolves to Yes if the film Digger receives a nomination for Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards. It resolves to No if it does not receive that specific nomination. Readers often mistake the premiere date or critical reception for the resolution criteria, but only an official Oscar nomination counts.
  • Digger — the market puts it at 19%, with $1 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Dec 2027. The market resolves to Yes if the film Digger receives a nomination for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the premiere or critical reception for the resolution criteria, but only an official Oscar nomination counts.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Neil Jordan on Tom Cruise’s ‘Interview with the Vampire’ Casting Controversy: “He Liked the Challenge of Proving Them Wrong” The Hollywood Reporter ·
  2. Tom Cruise Is the Last Great Movie Star Still Chasing His Oscar. Can He Overcome ‘Digger’ Reviews to Get Him There? Variety ·
  3. ‘Digger’: Tom Cruise’s “Brave Gorgeous Misfire” Gets Very Mixed First Reactions The Hollywood Reporter ·
  4. Tom Cruise Welcomes Prince William and Kate Middleton at ‘Digger’ World Premiere in London: ‘We Love Them and Really Appreciate What They Do for the Arts’ Variety ·
  5. ‘Digger’ First Reactions Split Over Tom Cruise’s ‘Baffling,’ ‘Unpleasant’ and ‘Brave’ New Movie: ‘The Divide on This Is Going to Be Wide’ Variety ·
  6. Tom Cruise’s “baffling” ‘Digger’ performance is dividing critics NME
  7. Tom Cruise’s ‘Digger’ World Premiere Was A Royal Affair With Prince William & Kate Middleton Deadline
  8. ‘Digger’ First Reactions Divide Critics: ‘Audacious,’ ‘Hollow Misfire,’ and ‘Massive Swing’ with Tom Cruise’s ‘Best Performance’ in Years IndieWire

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

  • Kalshi Digger 23% $226 24hends 31 Dec 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Digger 31% −3 $11 24hends 31 Dec 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Digger 19% −9 $1 24hends 31 Dec 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

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In this story

  • Tom Cruise
  • Alejandro González Iñárritu
  • Digger
  • Prince William
  • Kate Middleton
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