The History of Concrete Tops $1 Million as NAZA Lifts Off
John Wilson's documentary The History of Concrete has become the highest-grossing platform release of 2026, while NAZA reports strong early earnings.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 86% |
| 1 Oct, 06:29 UTC | 86% |
| 29 Sept, 11:14 UTC | 85% |
| 25 Sept, 20:25 UTC | 84% |
| 23 Sept, 16:03 UTC | 83% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 4 Oct 2026. IndieWire published first, on 4 October at 12:30 UTC; Deadline followed 7h 30m later. The most recent article, from Deadline, appeared on 4 October at 20:00 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: IndieWire, Deadline.
One prediction market prices this story:
- NAZA — the market puts it at 86%, closing 31 Dec 2027. The market resolves to Yes if the film NAZA is officially nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the theatrical release or streaming availability for a nomination.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi NAZA 86%
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In this story
- John Wilson
- Magnolia Pictures
- NAZA