Sydney Roosters to face Newcastle Knights in NRL grand final
The Sydney Roosters will meet the Newcastle Knights in Sunday's NRL grand final, marking an improbable run for the underdog.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 4 Oct, 10:39 UTC | 100% |
| 4 Oct, 10:26 UTC | 85% |
| 4 Oct, 09:53 UTC | 63% |
| 4 Oct, 09:21 UTC | 57% |
| 4 Oct, 08:56 UTC | 70% |
| 4 Oct, 08:23 UTC | 71% |
| 4 Oct, 07:51 UTC | 69% |
| 4 Oct, 07:12 UTC | 68% |
| 4 Oct, 06:33 UTC | 70% |
| 4 Oct, 06:20 UTC | 71% |
| 4 Oct, 05:54 UTC | 70% |
| 4 Oct, 05:04 UTC | 72% |
| 4 Oct, 04:58 UTC | 71% |
| 3 Oct, 04:45 UTC | 67% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 2 articles since 3 Oct 2026. The Guardian Sport published first, on 3 October at 19:00 UTC. The most recent article, from The Guardian Sport, appeared on 4 October at 08:09 UTC.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- NRL: Sydney Roosters vs Newcastle Knights — resolved “Sydney Roosters” on 4 Oct 2026. The Sydney Roosters outcome wins if they win the final official result of the October 4, 2026 match, including extra time or golden point. The Newcastle Knights outcome wins if they secure that same final victory. Readers often mistake a draw for a loss for one side, but a draw triggers an automatic 50-50 split instead.
- Newcastle Knights — resolved “No” on 4 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if the Newcastle Knights win the 2026 National Rugby League Championship. It resolves to No if they do not win that specific title. Readers often mistake this for a prediction of their performance in other seasons or tournaments.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Resolved NRL: Sydney Roosters vs Newcastle Knights Sydney Roosters 34d ago
The market favoured Sydney Roosters at 68% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Resolved Newcastle Knights No 34d ago
The market favoured No at 62% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
In this story
- Sydney Roosters
- Newcastle Knights