Typhoon Champi kills one and injures hundreds in Taiwan as it heads to China
The storm has weakened while moving toward the Chinese coast after causing widespread power outages and flight cancellations across Taiwan.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by Bloomberg Markets, 1h 42m ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story · 4 more published before price tracking began
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 26 Oct, 09:53 UTC | 0% |
| 26 Oct, 08:09 UTC | 0% |
| 26 Oct, 05:53 UTC | 1% |
| 26 Oct, 01:52 UTC | 1% |
| 24 Oct, 11:50 UTC | 1% |
| 23 Oct, 12:02 UTC | 0% |
| 23 Oct, 11:34 UTC | 1% |
| 23 Oct, 11:27 UTC | 1% |
| 23 Oct, 06:39 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 06:39 UTC | 1% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Will Champi peak as a Very strong typhoon? respond.
The story so far
13 publishers have covered this in 27 articles since 21 Oct 2026. Bloomberg Markets published first, on 21 October at 06:17 UTC; News - South China Morning Post followed 1h 42m later. The most recent article, from France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines, appeared on 24 October at 10:33 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Bloomberg Markets (major outlet), The New York Times (major outlet), ABC News (major outlet), Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), The Guardian (major outlet), News - South China Morning Post, Latest articles, Scientific American, Phys.org - latest science and technology news stories, France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines, Deutsche Welle, BBC News and 1 more, all listed under Sources below.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Will Champi peak as a Very strong typhoon? — resolved “No” on 26 Oct 2026. The market resolves based on the highest intensity class the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) assigns to Typhoon Champi in its official published analyses. For the outcome "Yes" to occur, JMA must classify the storm as "Very strong" or higher at its peak. Readers often mistakenly rely on forecasts from other agencies or post-season data, but only real-time JMA classifications count for resolution.
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? — the market puts it at 11%, with $339 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2028. The market resolves to Yes if China starts a military offensive to control any inhabited part of Taiwan by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. It resolves to No if this does not happen within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the deadline or assume uninhabited islands count toward the resolution.
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? — the market puts it at 2%, with $87k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if China starts a military offensive to control any part of Taiwan by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. It resolves to No if this does not happen within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the deadline as the end of the day in local time rather than Eastern Time.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Will Champi peak as a Very strong typhoon? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- Bloomberg MarketsSuper Typhoon Champi on Path to Impact China, Taiwan Within Days—
- News - South China Morning PostStrongest storm of the year barrels towards Taiwan and mainland China—
- Latest articlesJapan braces for 30th named storm this year as Typhoon Champi heads for Okinawa—
- Scientific AmericanSuper Typhoon Champi sets the record for strongest storm of 2026—
- Phys.org - latest science and technology news storiesTaiwan issues warnings as Typhoon Champi nears1%
- News - South China Morning PostSuper Typhoon Champi: Hong Kong airlines cancel at least 12 Taiwan, Japan flights1%
- The New York TimesAs Typhoon Champi Nears, Taiwan’s Mayors Bet on a Popular Day Off1%
- Bloomberg MarketsTyphoon Champi Shuts Taiwan’s $5 Trillion Stock Market1%
- France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesTaiwan shuts down schools and businesses as Typhoon Champi approaches1%
- South China Morning PostHonduras squeezes Chinese firms; Super Typhoon Champi nears Taiwan: SCMP’s 7 highlights1%
Show 17 later sources
- South China Morning PostSuper Typhoon Champi disrupts more than 70 flights between Hong Kong and Taiwan1%
- Deutsche WelleTaiwan braces as El Nino-supercharged Typhoon Champi approaches island1%
- ABC NewsTaiwan shuts schools and grounds flights as Typhoon Champi brushes by1%
- News - South China Morning PostTyphoon Champi grounds hundreds of flights in Taiwan, threatens eastern mainland China1%
- Phys.org - latest science and technology news storiesTaiwan shuts down as Typhoon Champi approaches1%
- BBC NewsHundreds of flights cancelled as Typhoon Champi shuts Taiwan1%
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraTyphoon Champi unleashes huge waves along Taiwan’s coast0%
- Phys.org - latest science and technology news storiesTaiwan warns of 'destructive winds' as Typhoon Champi batters island0%
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraTyphoon Champi hits Taiwan, killing one and injuring 3500%
- Times of IndiaWatch: Giant waves crash into Taiwan as Typhoon Champi leaves over 500 injured; 1 dead0%
- The GuardianTyphoon Champi kills one and injures more than 500 in Taiwan as it heads to China0%
- Latest articlesTyphoon Champi traveling north of Okinawa islands0%
- ABC NewsTyphoon Champi kills 1 and injures 350 in Taiwan overnight as storm weakens0%
- Deutsche WelleTaiwan: Typhoon Champi leaves 1 dead, over 500 injured0%
- News - South China Morning PostThousands evacuated and flights grounded as Typhoon Champi hits eastern China0%
- Phys.org - latest science and technology news storiesTyphoon Champi knocks out power to thousands in Taiwan0%
- France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesTyphoon Champi batters Taiwan0%
- Market resolved: No
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Typhoon Champi kills 1 and injures 350 in Taiwan overnight as storm weakens ABC News ·
- Typhoon Champi kills one and injures more than 500 in Taiwan as it heads to China The Guardian ·
- Typhoon Champi hits Taiwan, killing one and injuring 350 Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Typhoon Champi unleashes huge waves along Taiwan’s coast Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Taiwan shuts schools and grounds flights as Typhoon Champi brushes by ABC News ·
- Typhoon Champi Shuts Taiwan’s $5 Trillion Stock Market Bloomberg Markets ·
Show 21 more sources
- As Typhoon Champi Nears, Taiwan’s Mayors Bet on a Popular Day Off The New York Times ·
- Super Typhoon Champi on Path to Impact China, Taiwan Within Days Bloomberg Markets ·
- Typhoon Champi batters Taiwan France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
- Typhoon Champi knocks out power to thousands in Taiwan Phys.org - latest science and technology news stories
- Thousands evacuated and flights grounded as Typhoon Champi hits eastern China News - South China Morning Post
- Taiwan: Typhoon Champi leaves 1 dead, over 500 injured Deutsche Welle
- Typhoon Champi traveling north of Okinawa islands Latest articles
- Watch: Giant waves crash into Taiwan as Typhoon Champi leaves over 500 injured; 1 dead Times of India
- Taiwan warns of 'destructive winds' as Typhoon Champi batters island Phys.org - latest science and technology news stories
- Hundreds of flights cancelled as Typhoon Champi shuts Taiwan BBC News
- Taiwan shuts down as Typhoon Champi approaches Phys.org - latest science and technology news stories
- Typhoon Champi grounds hundreds of flights in Taiwan, threatens eastern mainland China News - South China Morning Post
- Taiwan braces as El Nino-supercharged Typhoon Champi approaches island Deutsche Welle
- Super Typhoon Champi disrupts more than 70 flights between Hong Kong and Taiwan South China Morning Post
- Honduras squeezes Chinese firms; Super Typhoon Champi nears Taiwan: SCMP’s 7 highlights South China Morning Post
- Taiwan shuts down schools and businesses as Typhoon Champi approaches France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
- Super Typhoon Champi: Hong Kong airlines cancel at least 12 Taiwan, Japan flights News - South China Morning Post
- Taiwan issues warnings as Typhoon Champi nears Phys.org - latest science and technology news stories
- Super Typhoon Champi sets the record for strongest storm of 2026 Scientific American
- Japan braces for 30th named storm this year as Typhoon Champi heads for Okinawa Latest articles
- Strongest storm of the year barrels towards Taiwan and mainland China News - South China Morning Post
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Resolved Will Champi peak as a Very strong typhoon? No 12d ago
The market favoured No at 99% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Polymarket Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? 11%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Polymarket Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? 2%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Typhoon Champi
- Taiwan
- China
- Central Weather Administration
- Shanghai
- Fujian