SpaceX Signs $40 Billion Deal With Apollo for AI Chips
The company secured the financing to lease Nvidia hardware, with deliveries expected in early 2027.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by Bloomberg Technology, 3h 58m ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 43% |
| 29 Oct, 12:11 UTC | 43% |
| 29 Oct, 03:42 UTC | 72% |
| 29 Oct, 02:13 UTC | 41% |
| 28 Oct, 11:45 UTC | 72% |
| 27 Oct, 23:19 UTC | 52% |
| 27 Oct, 09:37 UTC | 51% |
| 26 Oct, 08:34 UTC | 48% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Before 2028 respond.
The story so far
7 publishers have covered this in 8 articles since 26 Oct 2026. Bloomberg Technology published first, on 26 October at 12:19 UTC; theinformation.com followed 3h 58m later. The most recent article, from Quartz, appeared on 27 October at 12:30 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Bloomberg Markets (major outlet), TechCrunch (major outlet), theinformation.com, Times of India, decrypt.co, Latest from Tom's Hardware in News, Quartz.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Before 2028 — the market puts it at 43%, with $49 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2028. The outcome is Yes if Elon Musk deposits SpaceX shares into Trump accounts for at least 10 million children, as confirmed by any Source Agency before January 1, 2028. The outcome is No if this specific deposit and confirmation do not occur within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the linked news story about a chip deal for the actual event required to resolve the market.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Before 2028 at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- Bloomberg TechnologySpaceX Agrees to $40 Billion Chip-Financing Deal With Apollo48%
- theinformation.comSpaceX Agrees to Pay $40 Billion to Lease Chips from Apollo48%
- TechCrunchSpaceX locks in $40B GPU financing deal with Apollo48%
- Times of IndiaElon Musk’s SpaceX agrees to $40B Apollo-managed lease for Nvidia AI chips due in 202748%
- decrypt.coSpaceX Locks Up $40 Billion for AI Chips as Musk Warns Most Neoclouds Will Die48%
- Bloomberg MarketsPimco Scoops Up $4 Billion of Massive SpaceX AI Debt Package48%
- Latest from Tom's Hardware in NewsSpaceX closes $40 billion debt financing for GPUs expected in the first half of 2027, Musk says48%
- QuartzPimco is buying $4 billion of SpaceX's roughly $40 billion AI debt package51%▲3 points since the previous source
- Current odds43%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Pimco Scoops Up $4 Billion of Massive SpaceX AI Debt Package Bloomberg Markets ·
- SpaceX locks in $40B GPU financing deal with Apollo TechCrunch ·
- SpaceX Agrees to $40 Billion Chip-Financing Deal With Apollo Bloomberg Technology ·
- Pimco is buying $4 billion of SpaceX's roughly $40 billion AI debt package Quartz
- SpaceX closes $40 billion debt financing for GPUs expected in the first half of 2027, Musk says Latest from Tom's Hardware in News
- SpaceX Locks Up $40 Billion for AI Chips as Musk Warns Most Neoclouds Will Die decrypt.co
- Elon Musk’s SpaceX agrees to $40B Apollo-managed lease for Nvidia AI chips due in 2027 Times of India
- SpaceX Agrees to Pay $40 Billion to Lease Chips from Apollo theinformation.com
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Before 2028 43% −29
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls