SpaceX Pentagon Contracts Squeeze Rivals in Golden Dome Project
York Space Systems faces intense competition from SpaceX for a share of the $185 billion Golden Dome missile defense project.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 37% |
| 26 Sept, 04:36 UTC | 37% |
| 23 Sept, 18:25 UTC | 44% |
| 22 Sept, 18:06 UTC | 45% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 25 Sept 2026. Bloomberg Technology published first, on 25 September at 11:38 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Yes — the market puts it at 37%, with $21 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2028. The market resolves to Yes if SpaceX announces an agreement to acquire a major U.S. telecom business before January 1, 2028. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked story about a Starship launch for the actual resolution condition.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
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- Kalshi Yes 37%
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In this story
- SpaceX
- York Space Systems Inc.
- Pentagon