South Africa beat Australia by 67 runs in first ODI
Matthew Breetzke scored 112 to guide South Africa to victory, leaving stand-in captain Mitch Marsh dismayed at his team's collapse.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 27 Sept, 16:16 UTC | 100% |
| 27 Sept, 15:59 UTC | 97% |
| 27 Sept, 15:24 UTC | 92% |
| 27 Sept, 14:45 UTC | 67% |
| 27 Sept, 14:24 UTC | 49% |
| 27 Sept, 13:55 UTC | 55% |
| 27 Sept, 13:29 UTC | 63% |
| 27 Sept, 12:55 UTC | 72% |
| 27 Sept, 12:14 UTC | 75% |
| 27 Sept, 11:54 UTC | 74% |
| 27 Sept, 11:06 UTC | 72% |
| 27 Sept, 10:44 UTC | 68% |
| 27 Sept, 10:22 UTC | 57% |
| 27 Sept, 09:50 UTC | 44% |
| 27 Sept, 09:23 UTC | 42% |
| 27 Sept, 08:42 UTC | 36% |
| 27 Sept, 08:29 UTC | 39% |
| 27 Sept, 07:55 UTC | 48% |
| 27 Sept, 07:27 UTC | 47% |
| 26 Sept, 18:51 UTC | 45% |
| 26 Sept, 08:02 UTC | 46% |
| 26 Sept, 06:00 UTC | 46% |
| 26 Sept, 05:24 UTC | 46% |
| 26 Sept, 03:23 UTC | 47% |
| 26 Sept, 02:24 UTC | 47% |
| 25 Sept, 20:32 UTC | 46% |
| 25 Sept, 20:11 UTC | 47% |
| 25 Sept, 19:32 UTC | 46% |
| 25 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 46% |
| 25 Sept, 18:29 UTC | 46% |
| 25 Sept, 16:37 UTC | 47% |
| 25 Sept, 15:01 UTC | 47% |
| 25 Sept, 14:54 UTC | 46% |
| 25 Sept, 14:25 UTC | 46% |
| 25 Sept, 13:54 UTC | 46% |
| 25 Sept, 13:11 UTC | 47% |
| 25 Sept, 11:48 UTC | 45% |
| 25 Sept, 11:04 UTC | 46% |
| 25 Sept, 10:57 UTC | 47% |
| 25 Sept, 09:37 UTC | 45% |
| 25 Sept, 08:46 UTC | 45% |
| 25 Sept, 08:06 UTC | 45% |
| 25 Sept, 07:07 UTC | 47% |
| 25 Sept, 06:10 UTC | 46% |
| 25 Sept, 05:43 UTC | 46% |
| 25 Sept, 04:49 UTC | 46% |
| 25 Sept, 03:37 UTC | 45% |
| 25 Sept, 02:59 UTC | 46% |
| 25 Sept, 02:06 UTC | 47% |
| 25 Sept, 01:46 UTC | 48% |
| 25 Sept, 01:26 UTC | 48% |
| 25 Sept, 00:52 UTC | 48% |
| 25 Sept, 00:13 UTC | 47% |
| 24 Sept, 23:52 UTC | 47% |
| 24 Sept, 23:00 UTC | 48% |
| 24 Sept, 22:53 UTC | 47% |
| 23 Sept, 22:53 UTC | 50% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 24 Sept 2026. SkySports published first, on 24 September at 17:40 UTC; The Guardian Sport followed 4h 33m later. The most recent article, from The Guardian Sport, appeared on 24 September at 22:14 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The Guardian Sport (major outlet), SkySports.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Australia Tour of South Africa ODIs: South Africa vs Australia — resolved “South Africa” on 27 Sept 2026. The market resolves to South Africa if they win the scheduled ODI on September 27, 2026, and to Australia if they win. Ties without a Super Over or canceled matches result in a 50-50 split. Readers often mistake the linked story about the first ODI as relevant, but this market applies only to the specific fixture scheduled for September 27.
- Draw/Tie — resolved “No” on 25 Sept 2026. The outcome is Yes if the India A versus Australia A men's professional Test series ends in a draw or tie. The outcome is No if either team wins the series. Readers often mistake the linked story about South Africa and Australia for the relevant match, but only the India A vs. Australia A result counts.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Resolved Australia Tour of South Africa ODIs: South Africa vs Australia South Africa 41d ago
The market favoured Australia at 55% a day out, but South Africa won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Resolved Draw/Tie No 43d ago
The market favoured No at 92% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
In this story
- Mitch Marsh
- Matthew Breetzke
- South Africa
- Australia