Draw/Tie
The market favoured No at 92% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 1%
24-hour volume$48k
Total volume$88k
Liquidity$88k
Resolved29 Sept 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 25 Sept, 05:24 UTC | 3% |
| 25 Sept, 04:56 UTC | 6% |
| 25 Sept, 04:28 UTC | 9% |
| 25 Sept, 03:57 UTC | 11% |
| 25 Sept, 03:24 UTC | 8% |
| 25 Sept, 02:26 UTC | 5% |
| 25 Sept, 01:46 UTC | 7% |
| 25 Sept, 01:20 UTC | 4% |
| 25 Sept, 00:59 UTC | 6% |
| 25 Sept, 00:20 UTC | 4% |
| 24 Sept, 23:14 UTC | 7% |
| 24 Sept, 22:24 UTC | 4% |
| 24 Sept, 21:10 UTC | 5% |
| 24 Sept, 19:56 UTC | 2% |
| 24 Sept, 15:03 UTC | 5% |
| 24 Sept, 14:01 UTC | 3% |
| 24 Sept, 11:26 UTC | 2% |
| 24 Sept, 07:47 UTC | 8% |
| 24 Sept, 04:17 UTC | 9% |
| 24 Sept, 03:00 UTC | 8% |
| 24 Sept, 01:51 UTC | 5% |
| 23 Sept, 19:39 UTC | 8% |
| 23 Sept, 18:25 UTC | 9% |
| 23 Sept, 17:11 UTC | 5% |
| 23 Sept, 15:54 UTC | 10% |
| 23 Sept, 14:40 UTC | 11% |
| 23 Sept, 13:28 UTC | 13% |
| 23 Sept, 12:14 UTC | 15% |
| 22 Sept, 12:01 UTC | 39% |
What counts
The outcome is Yes if the India A versus Australia A men's professional Test series ends in a draw or tie. The outcome is No if either team wins the series. Readers often mistake the linked story about South Africa and Australia for the relevant match, but only the India A vs. Australia A result counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%