Pingree, Foulkes, Shapiro Win Gubernatorial Races in Maine, Rhode Island, Pennsylvania
Democrats Hannah Pingree, Helena Foulkes, and Josh Shapiro have been projected to win the governorships of Maine, Rhode Island, and Pennsylvania respectively.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 4 Nov, 03:55 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 03:26 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Nov, 02:49 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 02:26 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Nov, 01:57 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 01:27 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Nov, 00:58 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Nov, 00:22 UTC | 3% |
| 3 Nov, 23:53 UTC | 3% |
| 3 Nov, 23:24 UTC | 3% |
| 3 Nov, 22:19 UTC | 3% |
| 3 Nov, 21:57 UTC | 3% |
| 3 Nov, 21:26 UTC | 3% |
| 3 Nov, 17:58 UTC | 4% |
| 3 Nov, 17:10 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Oct, 04:01 UTC | 4% |
| 30 Oct, 01:03 UTC | 4% |
| 30 Oct, 00:49 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Oct, 00:28 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Oct, 22:50 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Oct, 20:16 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Oct, 19:43 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Oct, 19:29 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Oct, 18:13 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Oct, 17:19 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Oct, 16:42 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Oct, 16:07 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Oct, 15:45 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Oct, 15:22 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Oct, 14:55 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Oct, 14:16 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Oct, 13:46 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Oct, 13:29 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Oct, 12:59 UTC | 3% |
| 22 Oct, 08:38 UTC | 5% |
| 15 Oct, 19:34 UTC | 5% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Will the Republicans win the Maine governor race in 2026? respond.
The story so far
3 publishers have covered this in 9 articles since 3 Nov 2026. The Hill published first, on 3 November at 17:00 UTC; Fox News Politics followed 10h 24m later. The most recent article, from Fortune, appeared on 4 November at 16:08 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The Hill (major outlet), Fox News Politics, Fortune.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Will the Republicans win the Maine governor race in 2026? — resolved “No” on 4 Nov 2026. The Yes outcome occurs if a Republican wins the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election. The No outcome applies if any other candidate wins. Readers often mistake the linked story about current races for the resolution, but this market depends on the 2026 election results called by the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC.
- Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026? — resolved “No” on 4 Nov 2026. The Yes outcome occurs if the Democratic nominee wins the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election. The No outcome applies if any other candidate wins. Readers often mistake the linked Senate race headline for the relevant contest, but this market depends solely on the governor's race results.
- Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? — resolved “No” on 4 Nov 2026. The Yes outcome occurs if a Republican nominee wins the 2026 Massachusetts governor election. The No outcome applies if any other candidate wins or if the race remains uncalled by all resolution sources until official certification. Readers often mistake the linked story about other states for the relevant event, but only the Massachusetts results matter.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Will the Republicans win the Maine governor race in 2026? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- The HillRhode Island live results: 2026 governor's election4%
- The Hill NewsHawaii live results: 2026 governor’s election4%
- The Hill NewsNew Hampshire live results: 2026 governor’s election4%
- The Hill NewsPennsylvania live results: 2026 governor’s election4%
- The HillShapiro wins reelection as Pennsylvania governor2%▼2 points since the previous source
- The HillFoulkes clinches Rhode Island governorship2%
- Fox News PoliticsGOP governor defies Dem enthusiasm, tough political climate to win re-election in key swing state1%▼1 points since the previous source
- The HillPingree wins Maine governor's race2%▲1 points since the previous source
- FortuneRhode Island’s new Governor Helena Foulkes spent 25 years at CVS and lost her first election—she says failure and bad bosses made her a better leader1%▼1 points since the previous source
- Market resolved: No
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Pingree wins Maine governor's race The Hill ·
- Foulkes clinches Rhode Island governorship The Hill ·
- Shapiro wins reelection as Pennsylvania governor The Hill ·
- Rhode Island live results: 2026 governor's election The Hill ·
- Hawaii live results: 2026 governor’s election The Hill News ·
- New Hampshire live results: 2026 governor’s election The Hill News ·
Show 3 more sources
- Pennsylvania live results: 2026 governor’s election The Hill News ·
- Rhode Island’s new Governor Helena Foulkes spent 25 years at CVS and lost her first election—she says failure and bad bosses made her a better leader Fortune
- GOP governor defies Dem enthusiasm, tough political climate to win re-election in key swing state Fox News Politics
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Resolved Will the Republicans win the Maine governor race in 2026? No 3d ago
The market favoured No at 97% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Resolved Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026? No 3d ago
The market favoured No at 86% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Resolved Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? No 3d ago
The market favoured No at 97% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
In this story
- Hannah Pingree
- Bobby Charles
- Helena Foulkes
- Ken Block
- Josh Shapiro
- Stacy Garrity