Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?
The market favoured No at 86% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$68k
Total volume$115k
Liquidity$43k
Resolved4 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 4 Nov, 03:55 UTC | 3% |
| 4 Nov, 03:26 UTC | 6% |
| 4 Nov, 02:56 UTC | 7% |
| 4 Nov, 02:26 UTC | 9% |
| 4 Nov, 01:57 UTC | 23% |
| 4 Nov, 01:27 UTC | 14% |
| 4 Nov, 00:36 UTC | 6% |
| 4 Nov, 00:29 UTC | 12% |
| 3 Nov, 23:53 UTC | 14% |
| 3 Nov, 23:24 UTC | 14% |
| 3 Nov, 22:56 UTC | 14% |
| 3 Nov, 22:19 UTC | 14% |
| 3 Nov, 21:57 UTC | 14% |
| 3 Nov, 21:26 UTC | 14% |
| 3 Nov, 20:56 UTC | 14% |
| 3 Nov, 19:14 UTC | 15% |
| 3 Nov, 18:59 UTC | 15% |
| 3 Nov, 18:06 UTC | 15% |
| 3 Nov, 17:58 UTC | 15% |
| 3 Nov, 17:17 UTC | 15% |
| 3 Nov, 16:55 UTC | 15% |
| 3 Nov, 14:39 UTC | 15% |
| 3 Nov, 14:18 UTC | 15% |
| 3 Nov, 13:48 UTC | 15% |
| 3 Nov, 13:18 UTC | 15% |
| 3 Nov, 12:50 UTC | 14% |
| 3 Nov, 11:52 UTC | 15% |
| 3 Nov, 11:20 UTC | 14% |
| 3 Nov, 10:38 UTC | 14% |
| 3 Nov, 10:02 UTC | 14% |
| 3 Nov, 09:27 UTC | 14% |
| 3 Nov, 06:15 UTC | 14% |
| 3 Nov, 05:32 UTC | 14% |
| 3 Nov, 04:57 UTC | 14% |
| 3 Nov, 04:22 UTC | 14% |
| 3 Nov, 03:33 UTC | 14% |
| 3 Nov, 03:12 UTC | 14% |
| 3 Nov, 02:58 UTC | 14% |
| 3 Nov, 01:54 UTC | 14% |
| 3 Nov, 01:17 UTC | 14% |
| 3 Nov, 00:55 UTC | 14% |
| 3 Nov, 00:12 UTC | 13% |
| 2 Nov, 23:23 UTC | 13% |
| 2 Nov, 21:55 UTC | 13% |
| 2 Nov, 19:18 UTC | 13% |
| 2 Nov, 18:34 UTC | 14% |
| 2 Nov, 16:27 UTC | 14% |
| 2 Nov, 15:56 UTC | 14% |
| 2 Nov, 15:19 UTC | 14% |
| 2 Nov, 12:56 UTC | 15% |
| 2 Nov, 12:12 UTC | 15% |
| 2 Nov, 11:29 UTC | 15% |
| 2 Nov, 10:36 UTC | 15% |
| 2 Nov, 10:21 UTC | 15% |
| 2 Nov, 09:52 UTC | 15% |
| 2 Nov, 09:25 UTC | 16% |
| 2 Nov, 08:57 UTC | 16% |
| 2 Nov, 08:15 UTC | 16% |
| 2 Nov, 07:54 UTC | 16% |
| 2 Nov, 07:10 UTC | 16% |
| 2 Nov, 06:56 UTC | 16% |
| 2 Nov, 06:00 UTC | 17% |
| 2 Nov, 05:53 UTC | 16% |
| 2 Nov, 04:47 UTC | 16% |
| 2 Nov, 04:26 UTC | 16% |
| 2 Nov, 03:57 UTC | 14% |
| 2 Nov, 02:58 UTC | 10% |
| 1 Nov, 13:54 UTC | 8% |
| 1 Nov, 11:26 UTC | 8% |
| 1 Nov, 06:08 UTC | 8% |
| 1 Nov, 05:04 UTC | 8% |
| 1 Nov, 04:22 UTC | 8% |
| 1 Nov, 01:52 UTC | 8% |
| 1 Nov, 01:24 UTC | 8% |
| 1 Nov, 00:00 UTC | 8% |
| 31 Oct, 23:04 UTC | 8% |
| 31 Oct, 20:43 UTC | 8% |
| 31 Oct, 17:34 UTC | 8% |
| 31 Oct, 17:13 UTC | 8% |
| 31 Oct, 16:51 UTC | 8% |
| 31 Oct, 14:53 UTC | 8% |
| 31 Oct, 14:24 UTC | 8% |
| 31 Oct, 13:53 UTC | 8% |
| 31 Oct, 13:16 UTC | 7% |
| 31 Oct, 12:18 UTC | 6% |
| 31 Oct, 11:50 UTC | 6% |
| 31 Oct, 11:21 UTC | 7% |
| 31 Oct, 10:59 UTC | 6% |
| 31 Oct, 10:13 UTC | 6% |
| 31 Oct, 09:59 UTC | 6% |
| 31 Oct, 09:24 UTC | 6% |
| 31 Oct, 08:49 UTC | 6% |
| 31 Oct, 08:28 UTC | 7% |
| 31 Oct, 07:46 UTC | 7% |
| 31 Oct, 07:18 UTC | 7% |
| 31 Oct, 06:43 UTC | 7% |
| 31 Oct, 06:29 UTC | 6% |
| 31 Oct, 05:54 UTC | 6% |
| 31 Oct, 05:26 UTC | 6% |
| 31 Oct, 04:57 UTC | 6% |
| 31 Oct, 04:21 UTC | 7% |
| 31 Oct, 03:52 UTC | 6% |
| 31 Oct, 03:24 UTC | 6% |
| 31 Oct, 02:54 UTC | 6% |
| 31 Oct, 02:26 UTC | 6% |
| 31 Oct, 01:39 UTC | 6% |
| 31 Oct, 01:18 UTC | 6% |
| 31 Oct, 00:57 UTC | 6% |
| 31 Oct, 00:24 UTC | 6% |
| 30 Oct, 23:48 UTC | 7% |
| 30 Oct, 23:16 UTC | 6% |
| 30 Oct, 22:54 UTC | 6% |
| 30 Oct, 22:26 UTC | 7% |
| 30 Oct, 21:46 UTC | 7% |
| 30 Oct, 21:17 UTC | 6% |
| 30 Oct, 20:51 UTC | 6% |
| 30 Oct, 20:15 UTC | 6% |
| 30 Oct, 19:53 UTC | 6% |
| 30 Oct, 19:27 UTC | 6% |
| 30 Oct, 18:58 UTC | 7% |
What counts
The Yes outcome occurs if the Democratic nominee wins the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election. The No outcome applies if any other candidate wins. Readers often mistake the linked Senate race headline for the relevant contest, but this market depends solely on the governor's race results.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
View this market on Polymarket →