Wild Horse Nine Review: John Malkovich Leads CIA Caper in Chile
Critics praise John Malkovich's performance in Martin McDonagh's new film about two CIA agents on Easter Island.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 50% |
| 7 Nov, 05:43 UTC | 50% |
| 7 Nov, 04:26 UTC | 49% |
| 7 Nov, 02:39 UTC | 50% |
| 7 Nov, 01:13 UTC | 50% |
| 7 Nov, 00:59 UTC | 49% |
| 7 Nov, 00:16 UTC | 53% |
| 6 Nov, 23:26 UTC | 50% |
| 6 Nov, 22:57 UTC | 47% |
| 6 Nov, 21:59 UTC | 50% |
| 6 Nov, 21:16 UTC | 48% |
| 6 Nov, 20:17 UTC | 50% |
| 6 Nov, 19:47 UTC | 49% |
| 6 Nov, 19:03 UTC | 51% |
| 6 Nov, 18:19 UTC | 49% |
| 6 Nov, 16:13 UTC | 48% |
| 6 Nov, 15:05 UTC | 49% |
| 6 Nov, 14:56 UTC | 50% |
| 6 Nov, 13:27 UTC | 49% |
| 6 Nov, 12:58 UTC | 47% |
| 6 Nov, 12:08 UTC | 48% |
| 6 Nov, 07:31 UTC | 47% |
| 6 Nov, 07:03 UTC | 44% |
| 6 Nov, 06:21 UTC | 47% |
| 6 Nov, 02:22 UTC | 47% |
| 5 Nov, 23:44 UTC | 45% |
| 5 Nov, 21:49 UTC | 43% |
| 5 Nov, 18:43 UTC | 45% |
| 5 Nov, 17:58 UTC | 44% |
| 5 Nov, 17:20 UTC | 45% |
| 5 Nov, 06:40 UTC | 43% |
| 5 Nov, 06:26 UTC | 42% |
| 5 Nov, 03:08 UTC | 44% |
| 4 Nov, 19:42 UTC | 44% |
| 4 Nov, 18:35 UTC | 43% |
| 4 Nov, 07:27 UTC | 45% |
| 4 Nov, 06:07 UTC | 47% |
| 4 Nov, 03:41 UTC | 46% |
| 4 Nov, 03:18 UTC | 45% |
| 4 Nov, 02:49 UTC | 48% |
| 4 Nov, 00:29 UTC | 48% |
| 3 Nov, 23:31 UTC | 47% |
| 3 Nov, 23:17 UTC | 48% |
| 3 Nov, 22:41 UTC | 47% |
| 3 Nov, 22:19 UTC | 48% |
| 3 Nov, 21:49 UTC | 47% |
| 3 Nov, 18:29 UTC | 46% |
| 3 Nov, 05:25 UTC | 47% |
| 3 Nov, 04:51 UTC | 48% |
| 3 Nov, 03:47 UTC | 47% |
| 2 Nov, 23:01 UTC | 48% |
| 2 Nov, 19:18 UTC | 50% |
| 2 Nov, 17:11 UTC | 48% |
| 2 Nov, 16:04 UTC | 45% |
| 2 Nov, 10:36 UTC | 48% |
| 2 Nov, 08:43 UTC | 45% |
| 2 Nov, 04:26 UTC | 47% |
| 2 Nov, 03:06 UTC | 44% |
| 2 Nov, 02:58 UTC | 46% |
| 2 Nov, 01:53 UTC | 45% |
| 2 Nov, 00:33 UTC | 42% |
| 1 Nov, 20:29 UTC | 49% |
| 1 Nov, 06:01 UTC | 41% |
| 1 Nov, 05:40 UTC | 42% |
| 31 Oct, 22:43 UTC | 41% |
| 31 Oct, 20:28 UTC | 42% |
| 31 Oct, 19:59 UTC | 41% |
| 31 Oct, 16:51 UTC | 42% |
| 31 Oct, 13:31 UTC | 43% |
| 31 Oct, 13:01 UTC | 42% |
| 31 Oct, 12:54 UTC | 43% |
| 31 Oct, 12:11 UTC | 41% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch John Malkovich respond.
The story so far
8 publishers have covered this in 9 articles since 4 Nov 2026. The A.V. Club published first, on 4 November at 17:00 UTC; The New York Times followed 17h 03m later. The most recent article, from Variety, appeared on 6 November at 22:07 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The New York Times (major outlet), News Feed (major outlet), Variety (major outlet), The A.V. Club, Quartz, Consequence, IndieWire, Rolling Stone.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- John Malkovich — the market puts it at 50%, with $5k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Dec 2027. The market resolves to Yes if John Malkovich wins Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake this for any award he might receive, but only a win in the Best Actor category counts.
- Martin McDonagh — the market puts it at 3%, closing 31 Dec 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Martin McDonagh wins Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards. It resolves to No if he does not win that specific award. Readers often mistake this for any award he might receive, but only the Best Director Oscar counts.
- Sam Rockwell — the market puts it at 3%, with $312 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Dec 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Sam Rockwell wins the Best Supporting Actor award at the 99th Academy Awards. It resolves to No if he does not win that specific category. Readers often mistake other awards or nominations for the decisive factor, but only this Oscar counts.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on John Malkovich at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- The A.V. ClubThe Wild Horse Nine team channeled Billy Wilder for their modern screwball comedy45%
- The New York Times‘Wild Horse Nine’ Review: A C.I.A. Holiday43%▼2 points since the previous source
- QuartzMartin McDonaghs 'Wild Horse Nine' wird am 6. November in breitem Release veröffentlicht.43%
- News FeedWild Horse Nine — John Malkovich excels as a loose-lipped CIA man in darkly droll caper43%
- ConsequenceJohn Malkovich Will Blow Your Mind and Break Your Heart in Wild Horse Nine: Review43%
- IndieWire‘Wild Horse Nine’ Review: Martin McDonagh’s Prickly but Unconvincing CIA Satire Recasts ‘In Bruges’ as the Stuff of a Classic Western44%▲1 points since the previous source
- The A.V. ClubSam Rockwell gives Martin McDonagh's films their American id47%▲3 points since the previous source
- Rolling Stone‘Wild Horse Nine’ Is Part Conspiracy Thriller, Part Buddy Comedy, All Malkovich FTW49%▲2 points since the previous source
- Variety‘Wild Horse Nine’ Casting Director Sarah Finn on What Made John Malkovich a Perfect CIA Agent and Why Chadwick Boseman’s Marvel Audition Still Feels ‘Emotionally Loaded’50%▲1 points since the previous source
- Current odds50%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- ‘Wild Horse Nine’ Casting Director Sarah Finn on What Made John Malkovich a Perfect CIA Agent and Why Chadwick Boseman’s Marvel Audition Still Feels ‘Emotionally Loaded’ Variety ·
- Wild Horse Nine — John Malkovich excels as a loose-lipped CIA man in darkly droll caper News Feed ·
- ‘Wild Horse Nine’ Review: A C.I.A. Holiday The New York Times ·
- ‘Wild Horse Nine’ Is Part Conspiracy Thriller, Part Buddy Comedy, All Malkovich FTW Rolling Stone
- Sam Rockwell gives Martin McDonagh's films their American id The A.V. Club
- ‘Wild Horse Nine’ Review: Martin McDonagh’s Prickly but Unconvincing CIA Satire Recasts ‘In Bruges’ as the Stuff of a Classic Western IndieWire
Show 3 more sources
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi John Malkovich 50% +6
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Martin McDonagh 3%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Sam Rockwell 3% +1
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- John Malkovich
- Sam Rockwell
- Steve Buscemi
- Martin McDonagh