Purdue Falls to Taylor Swift's Album Release Curse Again
The Boilermakers remain winless in games occurring within seven days of the pop star's album releases.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked article; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 1 Oct, 14:37 UTC | 99% |
| 1 Oct, 13:55 UTC | 98% |
| 1 Oct, 03:41 UTC | 96% |
| 30 Sept, 22:29 UTC | 97% |
| 30 Sept, 01:37 UTC | 96% |
| 29 Sept, 20:34 UTC | 98% |
| 29 Sept, 16:15 UTC | 96% |
| 29 Sept, 09:59 UTC | 98% |
| 28 Sept, 03:03 UTC | 99% |
| 27 Sept, 20:43 UTC | 99% |
| 27 Sept, 19:33 UTC | 98% |
| 27 Sept, 19:20 UTC | 99% |
| 26 Sept, 14:19 UTC | 98% |
| 26 Sept, 03:08 UTC | 99% |
| 25 Sept, 16:44 UTC | 98% |
| 25 Sept, 15:43 UTC | 99% |
| 24 Sept, 15:13 UTC | 96% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 26 Sept 2026. www.espn.com published first, on 26 September at 21:31 UTC.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Taylor Swift — resolved “Yes” on 6 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Taylor Swift holds the top spot on the Billboard 200 chart at any point before December 26, 2026. It resolves to No if she does not achieve this ranking by that deadline. Readers often mistake the announcement of a new single or album for the required chart position.
- 4+ wins — the market puts it at 89%, with $8 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 20 Dec 2026. The market resolves to Yes if the Purdue college football team secures at least four wins during the 2026 regular season. It resolves to No if the team finishes with fewer than four wins in that same period. Readers often mistake the linked story about Taylor Swift for a relevant factor, but only the official win count matters.
- At least 3 weeks — resolved “Yes” on 11 Oct 2026. The outcome is Yes if Taylor Swift holds the number one spot on the Billboard 200 chart for a total of at least three weeks during 2026. The outcome is No if she fails to reach that duration within that calendar year. Readers often mistake the requirement for consecutive weeks, but the rule allows for non-consecutive time.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Resolved Taylor Swift Yes 32d ago
The market favoured Yes at 99% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Kalshi 4+ wins 89% −3
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Resolved At least 3 weeks Yes 27d ago
The market favoured Yes at 99% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
Have your say
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In this story
- Taylor Swift
- Purdue