At least 3 weeks
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 4 Oct, 06:14 UTC | 99% |
| 4 Oct, 02:37 UTC | 98% |
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The outcome is Yes if Taylor Swift holds the number one spot on the Billboard 200 chart for a total of at least three weeks during 2026. The outcome is No if she fails to reach that duration within that calendar year. Readers often mistake the requirement for consecutive weeks, but the rule allows for non-consecutive time.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%