Taylor Swift
Implied probability 99%
24-hour volume$522
Total volume$39k
Liquidity$39k
Resolves27 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 1 Oct, 14:37 UTC | 99% |
| 1 Oct, 13:55 UTC | 98% |
| 1 Oct, 03:41 UTC | 96% |
| 30 Sept, 22:29 UTC | 97% |
| 30 Sept, 01:37 UTC | 96% |
| 29 Sept, 20:34 UTC | 98% |
| 29 Sept, 16:15 UTC | 96% |
| 29 Sept, 09:59 UTC | 98% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Taylor Swift holds the top spot on the Billboard 200 chart at any point before December 26, 2026. It resolves to No if she does not achieve this ranking by that deadline. Readers often mistake the announcement of a new single or album for the required chart position.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%