Phillies Defeat Rays, Clinching National League Wild-Card Spot
The Philadelphia Phillies defeated the Tampa Bay Rays 7-3 on Sunday, securing the final National League wild-card berth on the last day of the regular season.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 27 Sept, 21:37 UTC | 100% |
| 27 Sept, 20:50 UTC | 98% |
| 27 Sept, 20:29 UTC | 98% |
| 27 Sept, 19:33 UTC | 98% |
| 27 Sept, 19:27 UTC | 90% |
| 27 Sept, 18:58 UTC | 78% |
| 27 Sept, 18:27 UTC | 79% |
| 27 Sept, 17:59 UTC | 80% |
| 27 Sept, 17:13 UTC | 81% |
| 27 Sept, 16:59 UTC | 81% |
| 27 Sept, 16:16 UTC | 81% |
| 27 Sept, 15:59 UTC | 81% |
| 27 Sept, 15:24 UTC | 81% |
| 27 Sept, 14:45 UTC | 78% |
| 27 Sept, 14:10 UTC | 77% |
| 27 Sept, 13:55 UTC | 77% |
| 27 Sept, 12:39 UTC | 77% |
| 27 Sept, 12:08 UTC | 77% |
| 27 Sept, 10:22 UTC | 77% |
| 27 Sept, 09:57 UTC | 80% |
| 27 Sept, 09:02 UTC | 77% |
| 27 Sept, 08:15 UTC | 77% |
| 27 Sept, 07:55 UTC | 77% |
| 27 Sept, 07:27 UTC | 81% |
| 27 Sept, 05:43 UTC | 76% |
| 27 Sept, 05:23 UTC | 78% |
| 27 Sept, 04:59 UTC | 83% |
| 27 Sept, 04:18 UTC | 84% |
| 27 Sept, 03:53 UTC | 79% |
| 27 Sept, 03:26 UTC | 79% |
| 27 Sept, 02:58 UTC | 73% |
| 27 Sept, 02:14 UTC | 61% |
| 27 Sept, 01:55 UTC | 58% |
| 27 Sept, 01:24 UTC | 63% |
| 27 Sept, 00:57 UTC | 65% |
| 26 Sept, 23:51 UTC | 68% |
| 26 Sept, 23:25 UTC | 69% |
| 26 Sept, 22:14 UTC | 70% |
| 26 Sept, 21:41 UTC | 70% |
| 26 Sept, 21:24 UTC | 69% |
| 26 Sept, 20:28 UTC | 69% |
| 26 Sept, 19:56 UTC | 69% |
| 26 Sept, 19:07 UTC | 69% |
| 26 Sept, 18:59 UTC | 69% |
| 26 Sept, 18:26 UTC | 70% |
| 26 Sept, 17:32 UTC | 70% |
| 26 Sept, 17:23 UTC | 69% |
| 26 Sept, 16:56 UTC | 70% |
| 26 Sept, 16:03 UTC | 70% |
| 26 Sept, 15:56 UTC | 69% |
| 26 Sept, 15:23 UTC | 69% |
| 25 Sept, 15:14 UTC | 92% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 27 Sept 2026. www.espn.com published first, on 27 September at 22:20 UTC; The Guardian Sport followed 1h 57m later. The most recent article, from The Guardian Sport, appeared on 28 September at 00:17 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: www.espn.com (major outlet), The Guardian Sport (major outlet).
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Will the Philadelphia Phillies clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? — resolved “Yes” on 28 Sept 2026. The market resolves to Yes if the Philadelphia Phillies officially secure a playoff berth in the 2026 MLB season. It resolves to No if the team is mathematically eliminated or if the playoffs are cancelled or delayed past October 31, 2026. Readers often mistake regular-season tiebreaker games for the actual playoffs, but these do not count toward clinching a spot.
- Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 National League Championship Series? — resolved “No” on 2 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 National League Championship Series and No if they do not. The outcome depends on official results from Major League Baseball or credible reporting consensus. Readers often mistake the end of the regular season for the deadline, but the series must be completed to determine a winner.
- Philadelphia — resolved “No” on 2 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if the Philadelphia team qualifies for the National League Championship Series during the 2026 baseball season. It resolves to No if they do not qualify by the end of that season. Readers often mistake clinching a wild-card spot as sufficient, but only advancement to the championship series counts.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Resolved Will the Philadelphia Phillies clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? Yes 40d ago
The market favoured Yes at 60% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Resolved Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 National League Championship Series? No 36d ago
The market favoured No at 92% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Resolved Philadelphia No 36d ago
The market favoured No at 80% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
In this story
- Phillies
- Philadelphia
- Rays
- Tampa Bay
- Bryce Harper