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Philippines Drops Three Impeachment Charges Against Vice President Sara Duterte

The Philippine Senate approved the withdrawal of three charges against Vice President Sara Duterte to expedite her trial.

2 publishers · 3 articles · first seen 13 Oct 2026 · updated 24d ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day

The odds

How the odds moved · Before Jan 1, 2027
0%50%100%40%12 Oct, 11:46 UTCnowABC News: Prosecutors drop 3 impeachment charges against Philippine VP to speed up trial · 13 Oct, 12:20 UTCNews - South China Morning Post: Philippine law targeting foreign agents spurs fears of free speech curbs · 14 Oct, 13:00 UTCSouth China Morning Post: Philippines drops 3 impeachment charges against Sara Duterte despite evidence · 13 Oct, 07:56 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now40%
16 Oct, 00:28 UTC40%
14 Oct, 09:37 UTC33%
14 Oct, 04:54 UTC34%
13 Oct, 12:37 UTC35%
12 Oct, 11:46 UTC32%

The story so far

2 publishers have covered this in 3 articles since 13 Oct 2026. South China Morning Post published first, on 13 October at 07:56 UTC; ABC News followed 4h 24m later. The most recent article, from News - South China Morning Post, appeared on 14 October at 13:00 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: ABC News (major outlet), News - South China Morning Post.

2 prediction markets price this story:

  • Before Jan 1, 2027 — the market puts it at 40%, with $15 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Sara Duterte ceases to hold the office of Vice President of the Philippines before January 1, 2027. It resolves to No if she remains in that role through the end of that date. Readers often mistake the dropping of impeachment charges for leaving office, but only her actual departure from the position counts.
  • Sara Duterte — the market puts it at 56%, with $15 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 May 2029. The market resolves to Yes if Sara Duterte wins the next Philippine presidential election. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked Senate news for the deciding event, but only the presidential election result matters.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Before Jan 1, 2027 at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

  1. South China Morning PostPhilippines drops 3 impeachment charges against Sara Duterte despite evidence32%
  2. ABC NewsProsecutors drop 3 impeachment charges against Philippine VP to speed up trial32%
  3. News - South China Morning PostPhilippine law targeting foreign agents spurs fears of free speech curbs33%▲1 points since the previous source
  4. Current odds40%

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Prosecutors drop 3 impeachment charges against Philippine VP to speed up trial ABC News ·
  2. Philippine law targeting foreign agents spurs fears of free speech curbs News - South China Morning Post
  3. Philippines drops 3 impeachment charges against Sara Duterte despite evidence South China Morning Post

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

  • Kalshi Before Jan 1, 2027 40% +7 $15 24hends 1 Jan 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Sara Duterte 56% −10 $15 24hends 31 May 2029

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

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In this story

  • Sara Duterte
  • Philippine Senate
  • Gerville Luistro
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