Before Jan 1, 2027
Implied probability 56%+18
24-hour volume$654
Total volume$6k
Liquidity$6k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 56% |
| 23 Oct, 09:14 UTC | 56% |
| 23 Oct, 04:10 UTC | 54% |
| 23 Oct, 03:41 UTC | 80% |
| 23 Oct, 02:33 UTC | 46% |
| 18 Oct, 14:41 UTC | 38% |
| 17 Oct, 23:10 UTC | 31% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Sara Duterte ceases to hold the office of Vice President of the Philippines before January 1, 2027. It resolves to No if she remains in that role through the end of that date. Readers often mistake the dropping of impeachment charges for leaving office, but only her actual departure from the position counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 56%
- No 44%