Olivia Rodrigo and Chappell Roan Release 'Expectations' Remix With Retro Video
The pop stars release a remix of the track with a music video directed by Bardia Zeinali featuring David Byrne.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story · 6 more published before price tracking began
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 3% |
| 21 Oct, 01:31 UTC | 3% |
| 20 Oct, 23:42 UTC | 8% |
| 20 Oct, 20:58 UTC | 6% |
| 20 Oct, 10:42 UTC | 23% |
| 20 Oct, 09:54 UTC | 13% |
| 20 Oct, 08:15 UTC | 25% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 35% |
| 19 Oct, 02:49 UTC | 19% |
| 19 Oct, 01:54 UTC | 25% |
| 19 Oct, 00:37 UTC | 20% |
| 19 Oct, 00:18 UTC | 26% |
| 18 Oct, 23:29 UTC | 25% |
| 18 Oct, 22:49 UTC | 19% |
| 18 Oct, 21:48 UTC | 30% |
| 18 Oct, 20:59 UTC | 32% |
| 18 Oct, 19:38 UTC | 26% |
| 18 Oct, 18:22 UTC | 32% |
| 18 Oct, 16:45 UTC | 28% |
| 18 Oct, 15:29 UTC | 26% |
| 18 Oct, 14:41 UTC | 32% |
| 18 Oct, 13:52 UTC | 29% |
| 18 Oct, 11:26 UTC | 50% |
| 18 Oct, 07:15 UTC | 43% |
| 18 Oct, 05:49 UTC | 42% |
| 18 Oct, 04:57 UTC | 37% |
| 18 Oct, 04:11 UTC | 40% |
| 18 Oct, 03:23 UTC | 51% |
| 18 Oct, 02:31 UTC | 56% |
| 18 Oct, 01:23 UTC | 53% |
| 17 Oct, 23:34 UTC | 52% |
| 17 Oct, 20:57 UTC | 51% |
| 17 Oct, 20:25 UTC | 46% |
| 17 Oct, 19:58 UTC | 52% |
| 17 Oct, 19:25 UTC | 53% |
| 17 Oct, 18:29 UTC | 51% |
| 17 Oct, 17:49 UTC | 54% |
| 17 Oct, 17:14 UTC | 53% |
| 17 Oct, 16:55 UTC | 55% |
| 17 Oct, 16:02 UTC | 56% |
| 17 Oct, 15:43 UTC | 40% |
| 17 Oct, 15:29 UTC | 43% |
| 17 Oct, 14:54 UTC | 43% |
| 17 Oct, 09:52 UTC | 25% |
| 17 Oct, 08:39 UTC | 32% |
| 17 Oct, 07:47 UTC | 22% |
| 17 Oct, 03:49 UTC | 28% |
| 17 Oct, 02:49 UTC | 25% |
| 17 Oct, 02:17 UTC | 24% |
| 17 Oct, 01:44 UTC | 28% |
| 17 Oct, 00:24 UTC | 27% |
| 16 Oct, 23:02 UTC | 28% |
| 16 Oct, 22:55 UTC | 29% |
| 16 Oct, 21:42 UTC | 25% |
| 16 Oct, 20:28 UTC | 30% |
| 16 Oct, 18:24 UTC | 24% |
| 16 Oct, 05:55 UTC | 71% |
| 16 Oct, 04:42 UTC | 72% |
| 16 Oct, 04:01 UTC | 65% |
| 16 Oct, 01:42 UTC | 64% |
| 16 Oct, 00:09 UTC | 65% |
| 14 Oct, 23:05 UTC | 0% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Rank 1 to 2 respond.
The story so far
9 publishers have covered this in 22 articles since 12 Oct 2026. Billboard published first, on 12 October at 20:53 UTC; Variety followed 19h 25m later. The most recent article, from Rolling Stone, appeared on 19 October at 17:06 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Variety (major outlet), The Hollywood Reporter (major outlet), The New York Times (major outlet), Billboard, Consequence, RSS: News, Rolling Stone, NME, Stereogum.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Rank 1 to 2 — the market puts it at 3%, with $77 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 26 Oct 2026. The outcome is Yes if Olivia Rodrigo and Chappell Roan's song "Expectations" ranks between No. 1 and No. 2 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart dated October 31, 2026. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the chart date for the release date or assume any ranking below No. 2 counts as a win.
- Chappell Roan — resolved “Yes” on 19 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Chappell Roan releases a new song in 2026. It resolves to No if she does not release a new song during that year. Readers often mistake the linked story about Olivia Rodrigo for the triggering event, but only Chappell Roan's own releases count.
- Olivia Rodrigo — the market puts it at 9%, closing 31 Dec 2027. The outcome is Yes if Olivia Rodrigo headlines Coachella in 2027. The outcome is No if she does not headline that specific event. Readers often mistake the linked story about a food vendor for the actual resolution criteria.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Rank 1 to 2 at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- BillboardOlivia Rodrigo Teases a Potential Pop Collaboration: ‘Olivia Does Remixes Now’—
- VarietyOlivia Rodrigo and Chappell Roan Team Up for ‘Expectations’ Remix and Music Video—
- ConsequenceOlivia Rodrigo Announces “expectations” Remix with Chappell Roan—
- BillboardOlivia Rodrigo & Chappell Roan to Work Out Their ‘Expectations’ on the Remix: Here’s When It Arrives—
- The Hollywood ReporterOlivia Rodrigo Announces “Expectations” Remix With Chappell Roan—
- BillboardRachel Chinouriri on Owning Her Pop Moment, Supporting Olivia Rodrigo & Bringing ‘More Sparkles’ Into Her Life—
- BillboardLola Young Praises Chappell Roan’s Trick for Private Conversations: ‘As You F–king Should, B—h’0%
- BillboardOlivia Rodrigo & Chappell Roan Exceed ‘Expectations’ on New Remix: Watch the Video0%
- ConsequenceOlivia Rodrigo Releases New “expectations” Remix with Chappell Roan: Stream0%
- RSS: NewsOlivia Rodrigo and Chappell Roan Compete on David Byrne’s Gameshow in “Expectations” Video0%
Show 12 later sources
- Rolling StoneOlivia Rodrigo Taps Chappell Roan (and David Byrne) for Retro ‘Expectations’ Remix65%▲65 points since the previous source
- VarietyOlivia Rodrigo and Chappell Roan Compete on Game Shows Hosted by David Byrne in the Retro Video for ‘Expectations’ Remix65%
- BillboardChappell Roan Talks Bringing Her Perspective to Olivia Rodrigo’s ‘Expectations’: ‘I Love Making Things a Little Gay’64%▼1 points since the previous source
- BillboardOlivia Rodrigo feat. Chappell Roan, Tate McRae, Zach Bryan & Angèle: New Music Friday Guide71%▲7 points since the previous source
- NMEOlivia Rodrigo teams up with Chappell Roan for ‘Expectations Remix’ – and David Byrne and Dan Nigro for video71%
- StereogumChappell Roan Joins Olivia Rodrigo On “Expectations” Remix: Watch Their Kitschy Video Feat. David Byrne71%
- BillboardFrom Tate McRae to Olivia Rodrigo & Chappell Roan’s Remix, Which New Music Release Is Your Favorite This Week? Vote!71%
- BillboardOlivia Rodrigo Says This Kendrick Lamar Song Inspired Her When Writing ‘Expectations’: ‘It’s a Mantra’24%▼47 points since the previous source
- Rolling StoneBrooklyn Punk Duo Venus Twins Tell Us How They Ended Up in Olivia Rodrigo’s New Music Video30%▲6 points since the previous source
- The New York TimesLana Del Rey’s Country Duet and 9 More Songs We're Talking About32%▲3 points since the previous source
- StereogumOlivia Rodrigo Shuts Down Accusations About AI Video With “Expectations” BTS Footage32%▼1 points since the previous source
- Rolling StoneArtists Behind Olivia Rodrigo ‘Expectations’ Music Video Debunk AI Accusations19%▼12 points since the previous source
- Current odds3%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Lana Del Rey’s Country Duet and 9 More Songs We're Talking About The New York Times ·
- Olivia Rodrigo and Chappell Roan Compete on Game Shows Hosted by David Byrne in the Retro Video for ‘Expectations’ Remix Variety ·
- Olivia Rodrigo Announces “Expectations” Remix With Chappell Roan The Hollywood Reporter ·
- Olivia Rodrigo and Chappell Roan Team Up for ‘Expectations’ Remix and Music Video Variety ·
- Artists Behind Olivia Rodrigo ‘Expectations’ Music Video Debunk AI Accusations Rolling Stone
- Olivia Rodrigo Shuts Down Accusations About AI Video With “Expectations” BTS Footage Stereogum
Show 16 more sources
- Brooklyn Punk Duo Venus Twins Tell Us How They Ended Up in Olivia Rodrigo’s New Music Video Rolling Stone
- Olivia Rodrigo Says This Kendrick Lamar Song Inspired Her When Writing ‘Expectations’: ‘It’s a Mantra’ Billboard
- From Tate McRae to Olivia Rodrigo & Chappell Roan’s Remix, Which New Music Release Is Your Favorite This Week? Vote! Billboard
- Chappell Roan Joins Olivia Rodrigo On “Expectations” Remix: Watch Their Kitschy Video Feat. David Byrne Stereogum
- Olivia Rodrigo teams up with Chappell Roan for ‘Expectations Remix’ – and David Byrne and Dan Nigro for video NME
- Olivia Rodrigo feat. Chappell Roan, Tate McRae, Zach Bryan & Angèle: New Music Friday Guide Billboard
- Chappell Roan Talks Bringing Her Perspective to Olivia Rodrigo’s ‘Expectations’: ‘I Love Making Things a Little Gay’ Billboard
- Olivia Rodrigo Taps Chappell Roan (and David Byrne) for Retro ‘Expectations’ Remix Rolling Stone
- Olivia Rodrigo and Chappell Roan Compete on David Byrne’s Gameshow in “Expectations” Video RSS: News
- Olivia Rodrigo Releases New “expectations” Remix with Chappell Roan: Stream Consequence
- Olivia Rodrigo & Chappell Roan Exceed ‘Expectations’ on New Remix: Watch the Video Billboard
- Lola Young Praises Chappell Roan’s Trick for Private Conversations: ‘As You F–king Should, B—h’ Billboard
- Rachel Chinouriri on Owning Her Pop Moment, Supporting Olivia Rodrigo & Bringing ‘More Sparkles’ Into Her Life Billboard
- Olivia Rodrigo & Chappell Roan to Work Out Their ‘Expectations’ on the Remix: Here’s When It Arrives Billboard
- Olivia Rodrigo Announces “expectations” Remix with Chappell Roan Consequence
- Olivia Rodrigo Teases a Potential Pop Collaboration: ‘Olivia Does Remixes Now’ Billboard
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Rank 1 to 2 3% −11
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Resolved Chappell Roan Yes 18d ago
The market favoured Yes at 90% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Olivia Rodrigo 9%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Olivia Rodrigo
- Chappell Roan
- David Byrne
- Dan Nigro