Chappell Roan
The market favoured Yes at 90% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 90%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolved19 Oct 2026
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Chappell Roan releases a new song in 2026. It resolves to No if she does not release a new song during that year. Readers often mistake the linked story about Olivia Rodrigo for the triggering event, but only Chappell Roan's own releases count.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 90%
- No 10%