Nvidia in Talks to Invest in Firmus After IPO Flop
Nvidia is discussing a hundreds-of-millions-dollar investment in Australian neocloud provider Firmus Grid after its initial public offering failed.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by theinformation.com, 1h 50m ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 3% |
| 24 Oct, 06:58 UTC | 3% |
| 23 Oct, 00:28 UTC | 1% |
| 9 Oct, 12:31 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 5% |
| 26 Sept, 23:00 UTC | 6% |
| 26 Sept, 16:03 UTC | 3% |
| 24 Sept, 21:46 UTC | 6% |
| 24 Sept, 04:30 UTC | 5% |
| 22 Sept, 07:55 UTC | 4% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Nvidia respond.
The story so far
4 publishers have covered this in 6 articles since 20 Oct 2026. theinformation.com published first, on 20 October at 22:09 UTC; Bloomberg Technology followed 1h 50m later. The most recent article, from decrypt.co, appeared on 22 October at 15:45 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Bloomberg Technology (major outlet), theinformation.com, www.theregister.com, decrypt.co.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Nvidia — the market puts it at 3%, with $10 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Nvidia releases an AI model ranked number one before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the ranking source or assume any top-tier model counts instead of strictly #1.
- Nvidia — the market puts it at 12%, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if any part of the U.S. federal government takes a stake in Nvidia before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake this for a prediction about stock performance rather than government ownership.
- Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? — the market puts it at 39%, with $20 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. NVIDIA must hold the second-highest market capitalization among all global companies at the exact moment the market closes on December 31, 2026. The outcome depends solely on that specific closing price data, not on intraday fluctuations or other dates. Readers often mistakenly check the company's value at any time during the day rather than waiting for the official market close.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Nvidia at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- theinformation.comNvidia Has Put More Than $170 Billion on the Line for Neoclouds3%
- theinformation.comNvidia Moves to Back GPU Cloud Provider Firmus After Investors Balk at Its IPO3%
- Bloomberg TechnologyNvidia in Talks to Back Firmus After IPO Flop, Information Says3%
- www.theregister.comTo help world gorge on GPUs, Nvidia brings cash bucket to fatten wafer-thin supply chain3%
- Bloomberg TechnologyNvidia's Huang Says Neoclouds Are 'Good Investment' (Video)3%
- decrypt.coWhat Is a Neocloud? The GPU Clouds Powering the AI Boom3%
- Current odds3%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Nvidia's Huang Says Neoclouds Are 'Good Investment' (Video) Bloomberg Technology ·
- Nvidia in Talks to Back Firmus After IPO Flop, Information Says Bloomberg Technology ·
- What Is a Neocloud? The GPU Clouds Powering the AI Boom decrypt.co
- To help world gorge on GPUs, Nvidia brings cash bucket to fatten wafer-thin supply chain www.theregister.com
- Nvidia Moves to Back GPU Cloud Provider Firmus After Investors Balk at Its IPO theinformation.com
- Nvidia Has Put More Than $170 Billion on the Line for Neoclouds theinformation.com
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Nvidia 3% +2
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Nvidia 12%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Polymarket Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? 39% +1
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Nvidia
- Firmus Grid Ltd.
- Jensen Huang