NewsMarkets

Business

Nvidia in Talks to Invest in Firmus After IPO Flop

Nvidia is discussing a hundreds-of-millions-dollar investment in Australian neocloud provider Firmus Grid after its initial public offering failed.

4 publishers · 6 articles · first seen 20 Oct 2026 · updated 16d ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

First reported by theinformation.com, 1h 50m ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first

This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day

The odds

How the odds moved · Nvidia
0%50%100%3%22 Sept, 07:55 UTCnowBloomberg Technology: Nvidia's Huang Says Neoclouds Are 'Good Investment' (Video) · 22 Oct, 09:14 UTCBloomberg Technology: Nvidia in Talks to Back Firmus After IPO Flop, Information Says · 20 Oct, 23:59 UTCdecrypt.co: What Is a Neocloud? The GPU Clouds Powering the AI Boom · 22 Oct, 15:45 UTCwww.theregister.com: To help world gorge on GPUs, Nvidia brings cash bucket to fatten wafer-thin supply chain · 22 Oct, 00:54 UTCtheinformation.com: Nvidia Moves to Back GPU Cloud Provider Firmus After Investors Balk at Its IPO · 20 Oct, 23:40 UTCtheinformation.com: Nvidia Has Put More Than $170 Billion on the Line for Neoclouds · 20 Oct, 22:09 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now3%
24 Oct, 06:58 UTC3%
23 Oct, 00:28 UTC1%
9 Oct, 12:31 UTC3%
29 Sept, 05:53 UTC5%
26 Sept, 23:00 UTC6%
26 Sept, 16:03 UTC3%
24 Sept, 21:46 UTC6%
24 Sept, 04:30 UTC5%
22 Sept, 07:55 UTC4%

The story so far

4 publishers have covered this in 6 articles since 20 Oct 2026. theinformation.com published first, on 20 October at 22:09 UTC; Bloomberg Technology followed 1h 50m later. The most recent article, from decrypt.co, appeared on 22 October at 15:45 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: Bloomberg Technology (major outlet), theinformation.com, www.theregister.com, decrypt.co.

3 prediction markets price this story:

  • Nvidia — the market puts it at 3%, with $10 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Nvidia releases an AI model ranked number one before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the ranking source or assume any top-tier model counts instead of strictly #1.
  • Nvidia — the market puts it at 12%, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if any part of the U.S. federal government takes a stake in Nvidia before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake this for a prediction about stock performance rather than government ownership.
  • Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? — the market puts it at 39%, with $20 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. NVIDIA must hold the second-highest market capitalization among all global companies at the exact moment the market closes on December 31, 2026. The outcome depends solely on that specific closing price data, not on intraday fluctuations or other dates. Readers often mistakenly check the company's value at any time during the day rather than waiting for the official market close.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Nvidia's Huang Says Neoclouds Are 'Good Investment' (Video) Bloomberg Technology ·
  2. Nvidia in Talks to Back Firmus After IPO Flop, Information Says Bloomberg Technology ·
  3. What Is a Neocloud? The GPU Clouds Powering the AI Boom decrypt.co
  4. To help world gorge on GPUs, Nvidia brings cash bucket to fatten wafer-thin supply chain www.theregister.com
  5. Nvidia Moves to Back GPU Cloud Provider Firmus After Investors Balk at Its IPO theinformation.com
  6. Nvidia Has Put More Than $170 Billion on the Line for Neoclouds theinformation.com

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

  • Kalshi Nvidia 3% +2 $10 24hends 1 Jan 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Nvidia 12% $0 24hends 1 Jan 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Polymarket Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? 39% +1 $20 24hends 1 Jan 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

Have your say

Your call. How does this end?

Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

Email me when the odds move

We email a link to confirm first. At most one alert email every six hours; unsubscribe in one click. Privacy

In this story

  • Nvidia
  • Firmus Grid Ltd.
  • Jensen Huang
Embed this story

Paste this into any web page to show the live odds, with a link back here.