Nvidia
Implied probability 9%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$61k
Liquidity$61k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 9% |
| 31 Oct, 23:17 UTC | 9% |
| 31 Oct, 17:21 UTC | 6% |
| 31 Oct, 16:15 UTC | 10% |
| 28 Oct, 03:22 UTC | 9% |
| 28 Oct, 00:00 UTC | 13% |
| 27 Oct, 14:29 UTC | 12% |
| 27 Oct, 06:56 UTC | 11% |
| 27 Oct, 01:32 UTC | 9% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if any part of the U.S. federal government takes a stake in Nvidia before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake this for a prediction about stock performance rather than government ownership.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 9%
- No 91%