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Mulvaney Predicts Susie Wiles Will Leave White House After Midterms

Former chief of staff Mick Mulvaney expects current chief of staff Susie Wiles to depart on her own terms following the midterm elections.

1 publisher · 2 articles · first seen 18 Oct 2026 · updated 19d ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

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The odds

How the odds moved · Susie Wiles
0%50%100%99%7 Oct, 14:45 UTCnowThe Hill: Former Trump aide: Prospect of replacing Wiles with Stephen Miller 'terrifying' · 19 Oct, 14:43 UTCJust In News: Mulvaney predicts Wiles is in a 'powerful place' in the White House but will leave after midterms · 18 Oct, 19:49 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
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The story so far

1 publisher has covered this in 2 articles since 18 Oct 2026. Just In News published first, on 18 October at 19:49 UTC. The most recent article, from The Hill, appeared on 19 October at 14:43 UTC.

3 prediction markets price this story:

  • Susie Wiles — resolved “Yes” on 6 Nov 2026. The outcome is Yes if Susie Wiles becomes the first member of Donald Trump's Cabinet to leave or announce her departure after May 22, 2026. The outcome is No if she remains in the role longer than any other cabinet member or does not leave by that date.
  • Susie Wiles — resolved “Yes” on 7 Nov 2026. The outcome is Yes if Susie Wiles leaves her role as Chief of Staff before 2027. The outcome is No if she remains in that position through the end of 2026. Readers often mistake the linked news story about her daughter for the resolution criteria, but only Wiles's own departure date matters.
  • Susie Wiles — the market puts it at 55%, with $720 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 21 Jan 2029. The outcome is Yes if Susie Wiles receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump during his second term before January 21, 2029. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake this for a prediction about her job status rather than a specific legal action taken by the president.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Former Trump aide: Prospect of replacing Wiles with Stephen Miller 'terrifying' The Hill ·
  2. Mulvaney predicts Wiles is in a 'powerful place' in the White House but will leave after midterms Just In News ·

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

  • Resolved Susie Wiles Yes 13h ago

    The market favoured No at 76% a day out, but Yes won. How often it's right

    Wrong market?

  • Resolved Susie Wiles Yes 3h ago

    The market favoured No at 57% a day out, but Yes won. How often it's right

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Susie Wiles 55% −4 $720 24hends 21 Jan 2029

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

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