Susie Wiles
Implied probability 60%+4
24-hour volume$228
Total volume$4k
Liquidity$4k
Resolves21 Jan 2029
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 60% |
| 6 Nov, 09:16 UTC | 60% |
| 6 Nov, 00:20 UTC | 58% |
| 4 Nov, 20:06 UTC | 56% |
| 4 Nov, 18:35 UTC | 55% |
| 4 Nov, 14:08 UTC | 54% |
| 4 Nov, 07:04 UTC | 55% |
| 4 Nov, 04:33 UTC | 52% |
| 4 Nov, 04:10 UTC | 51% |
| 2 Nov, 17:26 UTC | 48% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Susie Wiles receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump during his second term before January 21, 2029. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake this for a prediction about her job status rather than a specific legal action taken by the president.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 60%
- No 40%