Susie Wiles
Implied probability 99%+77
24-hour volume$4k
Total volume$96k
Liquidity$96k
Resolves20 Jan 2029
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 6 Nov, 18:56 UTC | 28% |
| 6 Nov, 15:05 UTC | 24% |
| 6 Nov, 14:11 UTC | 21% |
| 6 Nov, 13:27 UTC | 22% |
| 6 Nov, 12:00 UTC | 13% |
| 6 Nov, 09:16 UTC | 27% |
| 6 Nov, 08:41 UTC | 26% |
| 6 Nov, 08:20 UTC | 25% |
| 6 Nov, 06:49 UTC | 22% |
| 6 Nov, 06:21 UTC | 26% |
| 6 Nov, 05:38 UTC | 25% |
| 6 Nov, 02:22 UTC | 28% |
| 6 Nov, 01:45 UTC | 49% |
| 5 Nov, 23:44 UTC | 19% |
| 5 Nov, 23:22 UTC | 21% |
| 5 Nov, 22:54 UTC | 21% |
| 5 Nov, 22:18 UTC | 23% |
| 5 Nov, 21:49 UTC | 26% |
| 5 Nov, 21:26 UTC | 22% |
| 5 Nov, 20:20 UTC | 20% |
| 5 Nov, 19:43 UTC | 19% |
| 5 Nov, 19:21 UTC | 24% |
| 5 Nov, 18:50 UTC | 20% |
| 5 Nov, 18:28 UTC | 16% |
| 5 Nov, 17:58 UTC | 20% |
| 5 Nov, 17:20 UTC | 21% |
| 5 Nov, 16:58 UTC | 15% |
| 5 Nov, 15:41 UTC | 21% |
| 5 Nov, 15:25 UTC | 24% |
| 5 Nov, 14:47 UTC | 19% |
| 5 Nov, 14:16 UTC | 16% |
| 5 Nov, 13:45 UTC | 17% |
| 5 Nov, 10:39 UTC | 22% |
| 5 Nov, 06:19 UTC | 14% |
| 5 Nov, 05:35 UTC | 23% |
| 5 Nov, 04:12 UTC | 27% |
| 5 Nov, 03:51 UTC | 24% |
| 5 Nov, 02:54 UTC | 27% |
| 5 Nov, 02:17 UTC | 31% |
| 5 Nov, 01:42 UTC | 28% |
| 5 Nov, 01:28 UTC | 31% |
| 5 Nov, 00:59 UTC | 29% |
| 5 Nov, 00:16 UTC | 31% |
| 4 Nov, 23:54 UTC | 30% |
| 4 Nov, 23:04 UTC | 28% |
| 4 Nov, 22:49 UTC | 27% |
| 4 Nov, 22:05 UTC | 31% |
| 4 Nov, 21:42 UTC | 46% |
| 4 Nov, 21:26 UTC | 55% |
| 4 Nov, 20:45 UTC | 50% |
| 4 Nov, 20:23 UTC | 45% |
| 4 Nov, 19:19 UTC | 34% |
| 4 Nov, 18:35 UTC | 26% |
| 4 Nov, 18:27 UTC | 29% |
| 4 Nov, 17:56 UTC | 19% |
| 4 Nov, 17:27 UTC | 17% |
| 4 Nov, 16:57 UTC | 19% |
| 4 Nov, 14:01 UTC | 20% |
| 4 Nov, 13:31 UTC | 18% |
| 4 Nov, 05:39 UTC | 20% |
| 4 Nov, 02:41 UTC | 18% |
| 4 Nov, 01:49 UTC | 17% |
| 4 Nov, 01:20 UTC | 13% |
| 3 Nov, 23:17 UTC | 16% |
| 3 Nov, 21:57 UTC | 18% |
| 3 Nov, 19:57 UTC | 13% |
| 3 Nov, 14:53 UTC | 18% |
| 3 Nov, 14:25 UTC | 14% |
| 3 Nov, 10:22 UTC | 11% |
| 3 Nov, 07:12 UTC | 17% |
| 3 Nov, 04:15 UTC | 14% |
| 3 Nov, 02:23 UTC | 17% |
| 3 Nov, 01:39 UTC | 18% |
| 3 Nov, 01:17 UTC | 17% |
| 2 Nov, 23:44 UTC | 19% |
| 2 Nov, 21:41 UTC | 18% |
| 2 Nov, 21:26 UTC | 17% |
| 2 Nov, 19:54 UTC | 18% |
| 2 Nov, 18:42 UTC | 17% |
| 2 Nov, 14:49 UTC | 18% |
| 2 Nov, 08:43 UTC | 14% |
| 31 Oct, 23:53 UTC | 19% |
| 31 Oct, 22:21 UTC | 16% |
| 31 Oct, 16:15 UTC | 19% |
| 31 Oct, 14:16 UTC | 22% |
| 31 Oct, 08:21 UTC | 21% |
| 31 Oct, 03:45 UTC | 20% |
| 31 Oct, 02:12 UTC | 19% |
| 31 Oct, 01:39 UTC | 18% |
| 31 Oct, 01:04 UTC | 15% |
| 30 Oct, 21:46 UTC | 19% |
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The outcome is Yes if Susie Wiles becomes the first member of Donald Trump's Cabinet to leave or announce her departure after May 22, 2026. The outcome is No if she remains in the role longer than any other cabinet member or does not leave by that date.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%