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Argentina Drops Fraud Probe Against President Milei Over LIBRA Crypto Scandal

A judge ruled that the president's promotion of the LIBRA token did not constitute fraud, ending a criminal investigation into his conduct.

7 publishers · 7 articles · first seen 23 Oct 2026 · updated 12d ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

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The odds

How the odds moved · Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
0%50%100%47%11 Sept, 18:39 UTCnowBloomberg Markets: Inside The Two Argentinas Under Javier Milei · 25 Oct, 14:04 UTCCoinDesk: Argentina drops criminal probe into President Milei over crashed memecoin LIBRA · 24 Oct, 14:38 UTCAl Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera: Argentinian judge drops fraud investigation into Milei over crypto scandal · 24 Oct, 01:21 UTCNews Feed: Investing in Argentina · 23 Oct, 04:03 UTCLatest articles: Argentina’s economic chainsaw massacre · 26 Oct, 08:48 UTCThe Block: Argentine judge clears Milei and 10 others in LIBRA case, finding no ‘criminally relevant deception’ · 24 Oct, 16:24 UTCBBC News: Argentina drops investigation into President Milei over crypto fraud · 23 Oct, 20:59 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

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The story so far

7 publishers have covered this in 7 articles since 23 Oct 2026. News Feed published first, on 23 October at 04:03 UTC; BBC News followed 16h 56m later. The most recent article, from Latest articles, appeared on 26 October at 08:48 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: News Feed (major outlet), Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), CoinDesk (major outlet), Bloomberg Markets (major outlet), BBC News, The Block, Latest articles.

3 prediction markets price this story:

  • Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? — the market puts it at 47%, with $618 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 25 Oct 2027. The market resolves to "Yes" if Javier Milei wins the 2027 Argentine presidential election, including any second round. It resolves to "No" if he does not win. Readers often mistake the deadline for knowing the results (October 31, 2028) as the election date itself.
  • Javier Milei — the market puts it at 50%, with $58 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 30 Oct 2028. The market resolves to Yes if Javier Milei wins the next Argentine presidential election. It resolves to No if he does not win that specific race. Readers often mistake this for a prediction of his current popularity rather than the official winner of the upcoming vote.
  • Javier Milei — the market puts it at 60%, with $3 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 23 Oct 2028. The market resolves to Yes if Javier Milei wins the first round of the 2027 Argentine presidential election. It resolves to No if he does not win that specific round. Readers often mistake the final election result for the deciding factor, but only the first-round outcome matters.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

  1. News FeedInvesting in Argentina48%
  2. BBC NewsArgentina drops investigation into President Milei over crypto fraud47%▼1 points since the previous source
  3. Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraArgentinian judge drops fraud investigation into Milei over crypto scandal47%
  4. CoinDeskArgentina drops criminal probe into President Milei over crashed memecoin LIBRA46%▼1 points since the previous source
  5. The BlockArgentine judge clears Milei and 10 others in LIBRA case, finding no ‘criminally relevant deception’47%▲1 points since the previous source
  6. Bloomberg MarketsInside The Two Argentinas Under Javier Milei47%
  7. Latest articlesArgentina’s economic chainsaw massacre47%
  8. Current odds47%

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Inside The Two Argentinas Under Javier Milei Bloomberg Markets ·
  2. Argentina drops criminal probe into President Milei over crashed memecoin LIBRA CoinDesk ·
  3. Argentinian judge drops fraud investigation into Milei over crypto scandal Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
  4. Investing in Argentina News Feed ·
  5. Argentina’s economic chainsaw massacre Latest articles
  6. Argentine judge clears Milei and 10 others in LIBRA case, finding no ‘criminally relevant deception’ The Block
  7. Argentina drops investigation into President Milei over crypto fraud BBC News

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

  • Polymarket Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? 47% $618 24hends 25 Oct 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Javier Milei 50% −5 $58 24hends 30 Oct 2028

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Javier Milei 60% −3 $3 24hends 23 Oct 2028

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

Have your say

Your call. How does this end?

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In this story

  • Javier Milei
  • LIBRA
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