Javier Milei
Implied probability 55%+5
24-hour volume$18
Total volume$32k
Liquidity$32k
Resolves30 Oct 2028
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 55% |
| 27 Oct, 07:57 UTC | 55% |
| 25 Oct, 22:20 UTC | 50% |
| 24 Oct, 20:37 UTC | 51% |
| 24 Oct, 17:36 UTC | 52% |
| 24 Oct, 16:08 UTC | 56% |
| 23 Oct, 20:28 UTC | 55% |
| 23 Oct, 08:14 UTC | 51% |
| 22 Oct, 14:17 UTC | 53% |
| 21 Oct, 09:40 UTC | 54% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Javier Milei wins the next Argentine presidential election. It resolves to No if he does not win that specific race. Readers often mistake this for a prediction of his current popularity rather than the official winner of the upcoming vote.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 55%
- No 45%