Microsoft Unveils Surface Laptop Ultra Powered by Nvidia RTX Spark Chip
The company launched the $2,599 device in San Francisco to enable local AI workloads on Windows.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by Engadget - Technology News & Expert Reviews, 2h 12m ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 4% |
| 26 Oct, 13:06 UTC | 4% |
| 24 Oct, 06:58 UTC | 3% |
| 23 Oct, 00:28 UTC | 1% |
| 9 Oct, 12:31 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 5% |
| 26 Sept, 23:00 UTC | 6% |
| 26 Sept, 16:03 UTC | 3% |
| 24 Sept, 21:46 UTC | 6% |
| 24 Sept, 04:30 UTC | 5% |
| 22 Sept, 07:55 UTC | 4% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Nvidia respond.
The story so far
13 publishers have covered this in 24 articles since 7 Oct 2026. Engadget - Technology News & Expert Reviews published first, on 7 October at 11:00 UTC; The Verge followed 2h 13m later. The most recent article, from zdnet.com, appeared on 9 October at 13:27 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The Verge (major outlet), Axios (major outlet), Bloomberg Technology (major outlet), TechCrunch (major outlet), Ars Technica (major outlet), RSS 2.0, Quartz, CNET, Latest from Tom's Hardware, theinformation.com, MarketWatch, zdnet.com and 1 more, all listed under Sources below.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Nvidia — the market puts it at 4%, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Nvidia releases an AI model ranked number one before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the ranking source or assume any top-tier model counts instead of strictly #1.
- Nvidia — resolved “Yes” on 9 Oct 2026.
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? — resolved “No” on 31 Oct 2026. NVIDIA must hold the highest global market capitalization at the end of trading on October 31, 2026, for the Yes outcome to occur. The No outcome applies if any other company holds that position at that specific time. Readers often mistake the date of the linked news story or a temporary price spike as the resolution point instead of the market close on the specified deadline.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Nvidia at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- Engadget - Technology News & Expert ReviewsHow to watch the Microsoft Windows and Surface event5%
- Engadget - Technology News & Expert ReviewsMicrosoft Windows and Surface event 2026: Live updates as Satya Nadella and Jensen Huang take the stage5%
- The VergeWindows and Surface event: how to watch and what to expect5%
- QuartzMicrosoft and Nvidia are unveiling a new AI-focused Windows laptop5%
- QuartzMicrosoft und Nvidia stellen einen neuen KI-orientierten Windows-Laptop vor.5%
- CNETMicrosoft’s Windows and Surface Event: Live Updates From San Francisco5%
- The VergeWindows and Surface live blog: On the ground at Microsoft’s event5%
- RSS 2.0Everything announced at Microsoft's Windows and Surface event5%
- RSS 2.0Here's everything we know about Microsoft's Surface Laptop Ultra5%
- The VergeMicrosoft is giving Copilot more control over Windows and your files5%
Show 14 later sources
- Latest from Tom's HardwareMicrosoft and Nvidia launch Surface Laptop Ultra with RTX Spark5%
- theinformation.comMicrosoft Debuts New Windows PCs, Features Powered by On-Device AI5%
- AxiosMicrosoft looks to reboot the AI PC with Nvidia5%
- Bloomberg TechnologyMicrosoft Says New Laptop With Nvidia Chip Outperforms MacBooks5%
- The VergeEverything announced at Microsoft’s Surface Laptop Ultra event5%
- RSS 2.0Surface Laptop Ultra hands-on: A beautiful beast powered by NVIDIA's RTX Spark5%
- MarketWatchMicrosoft and Nvidia are teaming up on a supercharged AI laptop5%
- TechCrunchMicrosoft releases new Nvidia-chip AI PCs with revamped Windows 115%
- CNETThe Surface Laptop Ultra Is Here: Microsoft and Nvidia Built a Premium Computer for the AI Age5%
- Ars TechnicaMicrosoft event debuts new AI-friendly hardware and Windows changes5%
- zdnet.comMicrosoft’s new Surface Laptop Ultra finally has a starting price (you should sit down)5%
- Times of IndiaWhy Jensen Huang says Nvidia wouldn't exist without Microsoft, and CEO Nadella's reply5%
- zdnet.comMicrosoft’s new Nvidia PCs are cool for extreme power users – but I’ll wait for AI PC 3.05%
- zdnet.comMicrosoft previews Surface Laptop Ultra, new local AI agents3%▼2 points since the previous source
- Current odds4%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Microsoft event debuts new AI-friendly hardware and Windows changes Ars Technica ·
- Microsoft releases new Nvidia-chip AI PCs with revamped Windows 11 TechCrunch ·
- Everything announced at Microsoft’s Surface Laptop Ultra event The Verge ·
- Microsoft Says New Laptop With Nvidia Chip Outperforms MacBooks Bloomberg Technology ·
- Microsoft looks to reboot the AI PC with Nvidia Axios ·
- Microsoft is giving Copilot more control over Windows and your files The Verge ·
Show 18 more sources
- Windows and Surface live blog: On the ground at Microsoft’s event The Verge ·
- Windows and Surface event: how to watch and what to expect The Verge ·
- Microsoft previews Surface Laptop Ultra, new local AI agents zdnet.com
- Microsoft’s new Nvidia PCs are cool for extreme power users – but I’ll wait for AI PC 3.0 zdnet.com
- Why Jensen Huang says Nvidia wouldn't exist without Microsoft, and CEO Nadella's reply Times of India
- Microsoft’s new Surface Laptop Ultra finally has a starting price (you should sit down) zdnet.com
- The Surface Laptop Ultra Is Here: Microsoft and Nvidia Built a Premium Computer for the AI Age CNET
- Microsoft and Nvidia are teaming up on a supercharged AI laptop MarketWatch
- Surface Laptop Ultra hands-on: A beautiful beast powered by NVIDIA's RTX Spark RSS 2.0
- Microsoft Debuts New Windows PCs, Features Powered by On-Device AI theinformation.com
- Microsoft and Nvidia launch Surface Laptop Ultra with RTX Spark Latest from Tom's Hardware
- Here's everything we know about Microsoft's Surface Laptop Ultra RSS 2.0
- Everything announced at Microsoft's Windows and Surface event RSS 2.0
- Microsoft’s Windows and Surface Event: Live Updates From San Francisco CNET
- Microsoft and Nvidia are unveiling a new AI-focused Windows laptop Quartz
- Microsoft und Nvidia stellen einen neuen KI-orientierten Windows-Laptop vor. Quartz
- Microsoft Windows and Surface event 2026: Live updates as Satya Nadella and Jensen Huang take the stage Engadget - Technology News & Expert Reviews
- How to watch the Microsoft Windows and Surface event Engadget - Technology News & Expert Reviews
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Nvidia 4%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Resolved Nvidia Yes 29d ago
The market favoured Yes at 81% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Resolved Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No 7d ago
The market favoured No at 69% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Microsoft
- Nvidia
- Satya Nadella
- Jensen Huang