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Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?

Resolved: No 7d ago

The market favoured No at 69% a day out, and it won. How often it's right

Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$157k
Total volume$538k
Liquidity$30k
Resolved1 Nov 2026
How the odds moved · Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?
0%50%100%0%25 Oct, 20:56 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now0%
31 Oct, 03:38 UTC0%
31 Oct, 01:32 UTC0%
31 Oct, 01:18 UTC0%
31 Oct, 00:38 UTC0%
31 Oct, 00:02 UTC0%
30 Oct, 23:55 UTC0%
30 Oct, 23:09 UTC0%
30 Oct, 22:54 UTC0%
30 Oct, 22:26 UTC1%
30 Oct, 21:53 UTC1%
30 Oct, 20:51 UTC1%
30 Oct, 20:15 UTC1%
30 Oct, 19:53 UTC1%
30 Oct, 19:06 UTC1%
30 Oct, 18:58 UTC2%
30 Oct, 18:18 UTC2%
30 Oct, 17:56 UTC3%
30 Oct, 17:27 UTC4%
30 Oct, 16:54 UTC6%
30 Oct, 16:25 UTC7%
30 Oct, 15:50 UTC12%
30 Oct, 15:28 UTC14%
30 Oct, 14:58 UTC18%
30 Oct, 14:23 UTC32%
30 Oct, 13:58 UTC27%
30 Oct, 13:20 UTC50%
30 Oct, 12:59 UTC45%
30 Oct, 12:24 UTC54%
30 Oct, 11:59 UTC48%
30 Oct, 11:24 UTC45%
30 Oct, 10:50 UTC40%
30 Oct, 10:28 UTC42%
30 Oct, 09:58 UTC38%
30 Oct, 09:29 UTC25%
30 Oct, 08:55 UTC30%
30 Oct, 08:22 UTC25%
30 Oct, 07:55 UTC26%
30 Oct, 07:28 UTC31%
30 Oct, 06:56 UTC34%
30 Oct, 06:28 UTC35%
30 Oct, 05:56 UTC36%
30 Oct, 05:28 UTC36%
30 Oct, 04:43 UTC33%
30 Oct, 04:29 UTC33%
30 Oct, 03:54 UTC32%
30 Oct, 03:23 UTC37%
30 Oct, 02:55 UTC39%
30 Oct, 02:16 UTC37%
30 Oct, 01:55 UTC35%
30 Oct, 01:28 UTC37%
30 Oct, 00:56 UTC41%
30 Oct, 00:28 UTC41%
29 Oct, 23:47 UTC40%
29 Oct, 23:26 UTC34%
29 Oct, 22:57 UTC36%
29 Oct, 22:24 UTC67%
29 Oct, 21:55 UTC71%
29 Oct, 21:07 UTC65%
29 Oct, 20:53 UTC64%
29 Oct, 20:24 UTC65%
29 Oct, 19:57 UTC73%
29 Oct, 19:29 UTC76%
29 Oct, 18:06 UTC84%
29 Oct, 17:46 UTC82%
29 Oct, 17:26 UTC84%
29 Oct, 16:57 UTC86%
29 Oct, 16:15 UTC84%
29 Oct, 15:53 UTC84%
29 Oct, 15:22 UTC81%
29 Oct, 14:55 UTC77%
29 Oct, 14:24 UTC72%
29 Oct, 13:46 UTC76%
29 Oct, 13:15 UTC85%
29 Oct, 12:59 UTC84%
29 Oct, 12:18 UTC84%
29 Oct, 11:56 UTC84%
29 Oct, 11:12 UTC84%
29 Oct, 10:58 UTC82%
29 Oct, 10:26 UTC84%
29 Oct, 09:55 UTC82%
29 Oct, 09:26 UTC81%
29 Oct, 08:50 UTC80%
29 Oct, 08:26 UTC80%
29 Oct, 07:51 UTC80%
29 Oct, 07:26 UTC80%
29 Oct, 06:58 UTC81%
29 Oct, 06:18 UTC88%
29 Oct, 05:44 UTC88%
29 Oct, 05:03 UTC88%
29 Oct, 04:56 UTC88%
29 Oct, 04:28 UTC87%
29 Oct, 03:49 UTC86%
29 Oct, 03:21 UTC86%
29 Oct, 02:53 UTC87%
29 Oct, 02:20 UTC89%
29 Oct, 01:38 UTC88%
29 Oct, 01:18 UTC87%
29 Oct, 00:55 UTC86%
29 Oct, 00:27 UTC86%
28 Oct, 23:54 UTC86%
28 Oct, 23:26 UTC86%
28 Oct, 22:46 UTC85%
28 Oct, 22:25 UTC86%
28 Oct, 21:57 UTC84%
28 Oct, 21:22 UTC84%
28 Oct, 20:59 UTC84%
28 Oct, 20:09 UTC90%
28 Oct, 19:48 UTC91%
28 Oct, 19:26 UTC93%
28 Oct, 18:52 UTC94%
28 Oct, 18:29 UTC94%
28 Oct, 17:54 UTC93%
28 Oct, 17:16 UTC93%
28 Oct, 16:39 UTC93%
28 Oct, 16:24 UTC93%
28 Oct, 15:55 UTC93%
28 Oct, 15:26 UTC94%
28 Oct, 14:56 UTC94%
28 Oct, 14:14 UTC94%
28 Oct, 13:57 UTC94%
28 Oct, 13:24 UTC94%
28 Oct, 12:43 UTC94%
28 Oct, 12:29 UTC94%
28 Oct, 11:45 UTC94%
28 Oct, 11:24 UTC94%
28 Oct, 10:48 UTC94%
28 Oct, 10:23 UTC94%
28 Oct, 09:48 UTC94%
28 Oct, 09:10 UTC94%
28 Oct, 08:56 UTC94%
28 Oct, 08:29 UTC94%
28 Oct, 07:49 UTC94%
28 Oct, 07:22 UTC93%
28 Oct, 06:43 UTC93%
28 Oct, 06:20 UTC93%
28 Oct, 05:58 UTC93%
28 Oct, 05:26 UTC93%
28 Oct, 04:49 UTC93%
28 Oct, 04:17 UTC93%
28 Oct, 03:50 UTC93%
28 Oct, 03:29 UTC93%
28 Oct, 02:58 UTC93%
28 Oct, 02:16 UTC93%
28 Oct, 01:49 UTC93%
28 Oct, 00:21 UTC93%
27 Oct, 23:52 UTC93%
27 Oct, 22:51 UTC92%
27 Oct, 22:23 UTC92%
27 Oct, 21:33 UTC91%
27 Oct, 21:26 UTC91%
27 Oct, 20:46 UTC92%
27 Oct, 20:17 UTC92%
27 Oct, 19:55 UTC92%
27 Oct, 19:26 UTC91%
27 Oct, 17:50 UTC91%
27 Oct, 17:28 UTC91%
27 Oct, 16:37 UTC91%
27 Oct, 16:22 UTC91%
27 Oct, 15:56 UTC88%
27 Oct, 15:27 UTC87%
27 Oct, 14:43 UTC90%
27 Oct, 14:29 UTC93%
27 Oct, 13:48 UTC93%
27 Oct, 13:18 UTC92%
27 Oct, 12:42 UTC92%
27 Oct, 12:15 UTC92%
27 Oct, 11:03 UTC91%
27 Oct, 10:34 UTC91%
27 Oct, 10:20 UTC91%
27 Oct, 09:44 UTC91%
27 Oct, 08:54 UTC91%
27 Oct, 08:27 UTC91%
27 Oct, 07:51 UTC91%
27 Oct, 07:17 UTC90%
27 Oct, 06:36 UTC90%
27 Oct, 06:26 UTC90%
27 Oct, 05:54 UTC90%
27 Oct, 05:20 UTC91%
27 Oct, 04:26 UTC91%
27 Oct, 03:59 UTC91%
27 Oct, 02:23 UTC92%
27 Oct, 01:53 UTC92%
27 Oct, 01:25 UTC92%
27 Oct, 00:45 UTC93%
27 Oct, 00:10 UTC93%
26 Oct, 23:45 UTC93%
26 Oct, 23:24 UTC93%
26 Oct, 22:56 UTC93%
26 Oct, 22:22 UTC93%
26 Oct, 21:45 UTC93%
26 Oct, 21:11 UTC91%
26 Oct, 20:32 UTC91%
26 Oct, 20:12 UTC91%
26 Oct, 19:58 UTC91%
26 Oct, 19:23 UTC91%
26 Oct, 18:57 UTC89%
26 Oct, 18:26 UTC88%
26 Oct, 17:45 UTC88%
26 Oct, 17:28 UTC88%
26 Oct, 16:59 UTC86%
26 Oct, 16:24 UTC84%
26 Oct, 15:54 UTC83%
26 Oct, 15:17 UTC82%
26 Oct, 14:47 UTC81%
26 Oct, 14:23 UTC83%
26 Oct, 13:55 UTC85%
26 Oct, 13:23 UTC83%
26 Oct, 12:47 UTC82%
26 Oct, 12:25 UTC78%
26 Oct, 11:56 UTC75%
26 Oct, 11:24 UTC73%
26 Oct, 10:56 UTC73%
26 Oct, 10:14 UTC71%
26 Oct, 09:53 UTC71%
26 Oct, 09:24 UTC73%
26 Oct, 08:51 UTC71%
26 Oct, 08:23 UTC69%
26 Oct, 07:44 UTC70%
26 Oct, 07:24 UTC69%
26 Oct, 06:51 UTC72%
26 Oct, 06:13 UTC71%
26 Oct, 05:53 UTC72%
26 Oct, 05:19 UTC66%
26 Oct, 04:43 UTC66%
26 Oct, 04:29 UTC66%
26 Oct, 03:34 UTC66%
26 Oct, 03:20 UTC66%
26 Oct, 02:41 UTC66%
26 Oct, 02:27 UTC66%
26 Oct, 01:58 UTC69%
26 Oct, 01:27 UTC69%
26 Oct, 00:54 UTC69%
25 Oct, 23:35 UTC69%
25 Oct, 23:25 UTC68%
25 Oct, 22:54 UTC66%
25 Oct, 22:20 UTC66%
25 Oct, 21:57 UTC66%
25 Oct, 21:29 UTC66%
25 Oct, 20:56 UTC67%

What counts

NVIDIA must hold the highest global market capitalization at the end of trading on October 31, 2026, for the Yes outcome to occur. The No outcome applies if any other company holds that position at that specific time. Readers often mistake the date of the linked news story or a temporary price spike as the resolution point instead of the market close on the specified deadline.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 0%
  • No 100%

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