Meta Grants Zuckerberg Shares to Keep Him in California Amid Billionaire Tax Vote
The company issues non-voting stock to help cover potential tax liabilities while securing the CEO's eight-year commitment to remain in the state.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by Bloomberg.com, 30 min ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 8% |
| 23 Oct, 10:46 UTC | 8% |
| 23 Oct, 03:41 UTC | 13% |
| 22 Oct, 23:13 UTC | 14% |
| 22 Oct, 21:37 UTC | 5% |
| 22 Oct, 20:40 UTC | 22% |
| 22 Oct, 16:26 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 15:14 UTC | 36% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Mark Zuckerberg respond.
The story so far
9 publishers have covered this in 11 articles since 22 Oct 2026. Bloomberg.com published first, on 22 October at 11:36 UTC; The New York Times followed 31 min later. The most recent article, from Fortune, appeared on 23 October at 06:51 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Bloomberg Technology (major outlet), The New York Times (major outlet), TechCrunch (major outlet), South China Morning Post, BBC News, MarketWatch, Times of India, All Content from Business Insider, Fortune.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Mark Zuckerberg — the market puts it at 8%, closing 1 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if Mark Zuckerberg announces he is moving away from California before January 1, 2027. The outcome is No if he does not make such an announcement by that date. Readers often mistake the deadline for the end of 2026 or assume a physical move counts without a public announcement.
- Mark Zuckerberg — the market puts it at 9%, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Mark Zuckerberg ranks among the three wealthiest individuals globally on December 31, 2026. It resolves to No if he does not meet this wealth threshold by that date. Readers often mistake the deadline for the end of the year in which the news story was published, but the resolution depends strictly on his status on December 31, 2026.
- Mark Zuckerberg — the market puts it at 19%, closing 1 Jan 2033. The market resolves to Yes if Forbes reports that Mark Zuckerberg becomes the second person in the world to reach a net worth of at least $1 trillion USD before Jan 1, 2033. The outcome is No if this specific report does not occur within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the source of truth, assuming any financial publication or general news report counts instead of requiring an official Forbes report.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Mark Zuckerberg at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- Bloomberg.comMidterm Debates, Meta Deal to Keep Zuckerberg in California36%
- The New York TimesZuckerberg’s Big Deal to Stay in California36%
- South China Morning PostZuckerberg gets new Meta shares to stay in California amid billionaire tax vote36%
- BBC NewsMeta strikes deal to stop Mark Zuckerberg leaving California over billionaire tax36%
- Bloomberg TechnologyMeta Cuts Deal to Keep Zuckerberg in California Amid Tax Threat5%▼31 points since the previous source
- MarketWatchZuckerberg’s California tax move is a win for Meta — and for him5%
- Bloomberg TechnologyMeta Makes Share Deal to Keep Zuckerberg in California5%
- Times of IndiaZuckerberg weighed selling $110M home over billionaire tax, struck Meta deal5%
- All Content from Business InsiderMeta's massive deal for Zuckerberg proves execs aren't exempt from IRL work22%▲17 points since the previous source
- TechCrunchMark Zuckerberg’s creative plan to pay California’s proposed billionaire tax without losing control of Meta14%▼8 points since the previous source
- FortuneMark Zuckerberg owns 13% of Meta but controls 61% of its votes. California’s wealth tax would bill him on the 13%13%▼1 points since the previous source
- Current odds8%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Mark Zuckerberg’s creative plan to pay California’s proposed billionaire tax without losing control of Meta TechCrunch ·
- Meta Makes Share Deal to Keep Zuckerberg in California Bloomberg Technology ·
- Meta Cuts Deal to Keep Zuckerberg in California Amid Tax Threat Bloomberg Technology ·
- Zuckerberg’s Big Deal to Stay in California The New York Times ·
- Midterm Debates, Meta Deal to Keep Zuckerberg in California Bloomberg.com ·
- Mark Zuckerberg owns 13% of Meta but controls 61% of its votes. California’s wealth tax would bill him on the 13% Fortune
Show 5 more sources
- Meta's massive deal for Zuckerberg proves execs aren't exempt from IRL work All Content from Business Insider
- Zuckerberg weighed selling $110M home over billionaire tax, struck Meta deal Times of India
- Zuckerberg’s California tax move is a win for Meta — and for him MarketWatch
- Meta strikes deal to stop Mark Zuckerberg leaving California over billionaire tax BBC News
- Zuckerberg gets new Meta shares to stay in California amid billionaire tax vote South China Morning Post
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Mark Zuckerberg 8%
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- Kalshi Mark Zuckerberg 9%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Mark Zuckerberg 19%
Does the market have this right?
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