Mark Zuckerberg
Implied probability 8%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$11k
Liquidity$11k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 8% |
| 23 Oct, 10:46 UTC | 8% |
| 23 Oct, 03:41 UTC | 13% |
| 22 Oct, 23:13 UTC | 14% |
| 22 Oct, 21:37 UTC | 5% |
| 22 Oct, 20:40 UTC | 22% |
| 22 Oct, 16:26 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 15:14 UTC | 36% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Mark Zuckerberg announces he is moving away from California before January 1, 2027. The outcome is No if he does not make such an announcement by that date. Readers often mistake the deadline for the end of 2026 or assume a physical move counts without a public announcement.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 8%
- No 92%