Messi Completes Purchase of Spanish Second Division Club CD Eldense
The Argentine football star has acquired the club, marking his second ownership stake in Spanish professional football.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 96% |
| 25 Oct, 06:35 UTC | 96% |
| 21 Oct, 05:13 UTC | 94% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 82% |
| 18 Oct, 02:31 UTC | 95% |
| 17 Oct, 13:41 UTC | 91% |
| 17 Oct, 01:37 UTC | 95% |
| 16 Oct, 08:59 UTC | 91% |
| 15 Oct, 03:10 UTC | 90% |
| 14 Oct, 23:14 UTC | 97% |
| 14 Oct, 20:38 UTC | 90% |
| 14 Oct, 03:35 UTC | 91% |
| 13 Oct, 20:56 UTC | 97% |
| 13 Oct, 15:57 UTC | 49% |
| 11 Oct, 01:53 UTC | 91% |
| 10 Oct, 14:13 UTC | 77% |
| 10 Oct, 13:43 UTC | 91% |
| 10 Oct, 02:13 UTC | 47% |
| 7 Oct, 07:20 UTC | 25% |
| 4 Oct, 19:07 UTC | 63% |
| 4 Oct, 15:58 UTC | 65% |
| 2 Oct, 14:07 UTC | 90% |
| 30 Sept, 19:09 UTC | 66% |
| 28 Sept, 08:38 UTC | 89% |
| 28 Sept, 08:17 UTC | 86% |
| 28 Sept, 07:51 UTC | 88% |
| 28 Sept, 07:26 UTC | 74% |
| 28 Sept, 00:22 UTC | 19% |
| 27 Sept, 08:29 UTC | 75% |
| 27 Sept, 02:30 UTC | 16% |
| 27 Sept, 01:41 UTC | 75% |
| 24 Sept, 11:35 UTC | 74% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 1 Oct 2026. BBC Sport published first, on 1 October at 19:26 UTC; SI Feed followed 38 min later. The most recent article, from SI Feed, appeared on 1 October at 20:04 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: BBC Sport, SI Feed.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Lionel Messi — the market puts it at 96%, closing 15 Nov 2026. The outcome is Yes if Lionel Messi finishes the 2026 MLS regular season with the most goals of any player. The outcome is No if he does not lead the league in goals. Readers often mistake the deadline for the end of the playoffs instead of the conclusion of the regular season.
- Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? — resolved “No” on 27 Oct 2026. The market resolves based on who wins the 2026 Ballon d'Or as announced by France Football. For 'Yes,' Lionel Messi must be declared the winner; for 'No,' he must not win. Readers often mistake the deadline, which is December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, or assume other sources of information are valid.
- Lionel Messi — resolved “Yes” on 26 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Lionel Messi finishes in the top 10 of the official 2026 Ballon d'Or rankings. It resolves to No if he does not reach that threshold. Readers often mistake the purchase of a football club for an achievement that counts toward this specific award ranking.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Lionel Messi 96%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Resolved Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 11d ago
The market favoured No at 99% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Resolved Lionel Messi Yes 12d ago
The market favoured Yes at 99% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Lionel Messi
- CD Eldense