Markets Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Implied probability 3% 24-hour volume$24k Total volume$2.5M Liquidity$181k Resolves31 Oct 2026 Outcomes Yes 3% No 97% Trade this market on Polymarket → Stories on this market Messi, Lavelle Headline 2026 Ballon d'Or Short Lists sports