Mbappe Scores Twice as Real Madrid Beat Sevilla 4-1
The victory closes the gap on Barcelona to six points ahead of next weekend's El Clasico.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by BBC Sport, 1h 46m ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 25 Oct, 22:06 UTC | 95% |
| 25 Oct, 21:57 UTC | 33% |
| 25 Oct, 21:29 UTC | 47% |
| 25 Oct, 20:56 UTC | 31% |
| 25 Oct, 20:26 UTC | 24% |
| 25 Oct, 17:03 UTC | 25% |
| 25 Oct, 16:56 UTC | 24% |
| 25 Oct, 15:17 UTC | 25% |
| 25 Oct, 13:03 UTC | 25% |
| 25 Oct, 12:56 UTC | 24% |
| 25 Oct, 10:49 UTC | 26% |
| 25 Oct, 10:28 UTC | 26% |
| 25 Oct, 09:58 UTC | 26% |
| 25 Oct, 07:32 UTC | 27% |
| 25 Oct, 07:25 UTC | 26% |
| 25 Oct, 04:36 UTC | 27% |
| 24 Oct, 22:51 UTC | 26% |
| 24 Oct, 21:51 UTC | 27% |
| 24 Oct, 21:12 UTC | 27% |
| 24 Oct, 18:29 UTC | 27% |
| 24 Oct, 15:48 UTC | 27% |
| 24 Oct, 14:40 UTC | 27% |
| 24 Oct, 13:00 UTC | 26% |
| 24 Oct, 12:40 UTC | 25% |
| 24 Oct, 10:03 UTC | 26% |
| 24 Oct, 09:57 UTC | 25% |
| 24 Oct, 07:27 UTC | 27% |
| 24 Oct, 03:42 UTC | 26% |
| 24 Oct, 00:27 UTC | 27% |
| 23 Oct, 22:28 UTC | 26% |
| 23 Oct, 20:12 UTC | 26% |
| 23 Oct, 18:56 UTC | 27% |
| 23 Oct, 16:07 UTC | 26% |
| 23 Oct, 15:20 UTC | 26% |
| 23 Oct, 14:01 UTC | 27% |
| 23 Oct, 12:50 UTC | 26% |
| 23 Oct, 09:34 UTC | 27% |
| 23 Oct, 09:27 UTC | 26% |
| 23 Oct, 08:53 UTC | 27% |
| 23 Oct, 08:21 UTC | 27% |
| 23 Oct, 07:54 UTC | 26% |
| 23 Oct, 06:46 UTC | 26% |
| 23 Oct, 05:39 UTC | 27% |
| 23 Oct, 05:04 UTC | 26% |
| 23 Oct, 04:57 UTC | 27% |
| 23 Oct, 02:33 UTC | 27% |
| 23 Oct, 01:18 UTC | 28% |
| 22 Oct, 21:30 UTC | 27% |
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| 22 Oct, 20:55 UTC | 27% |
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| 22 Oct, 19:52 UTC | 26% |
| 22 Oct, 18:49 UTC | 27% |
| 22 Oct, 18:20 UTC | 26% |
| 22 Oct, 17:09 UTC | 27% |
| 22 Oct, 16:54 UTC | 26% |
| 22 Oct, 16:26 UTC | 27% |
| 22 Oct, 15:57 UTC | 27% |
| 22 Oct, 15:28 UTC | 27% |
| 22 Oct, 14:54 UTC | 26% |
| 22 Oct, 14:17 UTC | 27% |
| 22 Oct, 13:56 UTC | 26% |
| 22 Oct, 13:27 UTC | 26% |
| 22 Oct, 12:43 UTC | 26% |
| 22 Oct, 12:29 UTC | 26% |
| 22 Oct, 11:00 UTC | 26% |
| 22 Oct, 10:53 UTC | 26% |
| 22 Oct, 10:09 UTC | 25% |
| 22 Oct, 09:11 UTC | 27% |
| 22 Oct, 06:08 UTC | 28% |
| 22 Oct, 05:53 UTC | 28% |
| 22 Oct, 05:25 UTC | 29% |
| 22 Oct, 04:55 UTC | 27% |
| 22 Oct, 03:45 UTC | 27% |
| 22 Oct, 03:09 UTC | 28% |
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| 22 Oct, 01:58 UTC | 27% |
| 22 Oct, 00:52 UTC | 28% |
| 22 Oct, 00:24 UTC | 29% |
| 21 Oct, 23:42 UTC | 27% |
| 21 Oct, 23:14 UTC | 28% |
| 21 Oct, 22:17 UTC | 28% |
| 21 Oct, 21:48 UTC | 27% |
| 21 Oct, 21:04 UTC | 27% |
| 21 Oct, 20:20 UTC | 26% |
| 21 Oct, 19:39 UTC | 25% |
| 21 Oct, 19:17 UTC | 25% |
| 21 Oct, 18:34 UTC | 25% |
| 21 Oct, 18:27 UTC | 24% |
| 21 Oct, 15:31 UTC | 25% |
| 21 Oct, 15:25 UTC | 23% |
| 21 Oct, 14:23 UTC | 25% |
| 21 Oct, 13:40 UTC | 24% |
| 21 Oct, 13:26 UTC | 25% |
| 21 Oct, 11:45 UTC | 25% |
| 21 Oct, 09:40 UTC | 25% |
| 21 Oct, 09:26 UTC | 26% |
| 21 Oct, 08:44 UTC | 26% |
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| 21 Oct, 07:43 UTC | 26% |
| 21 Oct, 07:29 UTC | 25% |
| 21 Oct, 06:37 UTC | 26% |
| 21 Oct, 06:23 UTC | 24% |
| 21 Oct, 04:59 UTC | 25% |
| 21 Oct, 04:26 UTC | 26% |
| 21 Oct, 02:34 UTC | 26% |
| 21 Oct, 02:27 UTC | 24% |
| 21 Oct, 01:45 UTC | 27% |
| 21 Oct, 01:24 UTC | 25% |
| 21 Oct, 00:56 UTC | 26% |
| 21 Oct, 00:22 UTC | 27% |
| 20 Oct, 23:57 UTC | 27% |
| 20 Oct, 22:59 UTC | 26% |
| 20 Oct, 22:24 UTC | 27% |
| 20 Oct, 21:41 UTC | 26% |
| 20 Oct, 21:27 UTC | 26% |
| 20 Oct, 20:58 UTC | 23% |
| 20 Oct, 20:10 UTC | 25% |
| 20 Oct, 19:55 UTC | 24% |
| 20 Oct, 19:14 UTC | 25% |
| 20 Oct, 18:59 UTC | 25% |
| 20 Oct, 17:46 UTC | 24% |
| 20 Oct, 17:24 UTC | 25% |
| 20 Oct, 16:41 UTC | 24% |
| 20 Oct, 16:27 UTC | 25% |
| 20 Oct, 15:58 UTC | 24% |
| 20 Oct, 15:23 UTC | 23% |
| 20 Oct, 14:47 UTC | 25% |
| 20 Oct, 13:37 UTC | 24% |
| 20 Oct, 13:29 UTC | 23% |
| 20 Oct, 11:19 UTC | 23% |
| 20 Oct, 06:13 UTC | 24% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 24% |
| 19 Oct, 03:30 UTC | 25% |
| 19 Oct, 01:13 UTC | 23% |
| 19 Oct, 00:37 UTC | 23% |
| 19 Oct, 00:18 UTC | 23% |
| 18 Oct, 23:03 UTC | 22% |
| 18 Oct, 22:56 UTC | 21% |
| 18 Oct, 22:21 UTC | 23% |
| 18 Oct, 20:53 UTC | 22% |
| 18 Oct, 19:59 UTC | 21% |
| 18 Oct, 19:03 UTC | 21% |
| 18 Oct, 18:50 UTC | 22% |
| 18 Oct, 17:38 UTC | 21% |
| 18 Oct, 17:10 UTC | 21% |
| 18 Oct, 16:45 UTC | 22% |
| 18 Oct, 16:24 UTC | 21% |
| 18 Oct, 15:59 UTC | 20% |
| 18 Oct, 15:29 UTC | 22% |
| 18 Oct, 14:41 UTC | 22% |
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| 18 Oct, 12:48 UTC | 20% |
| 18 Oct, 12:00 UTC | 20% |
| 18 Oct, 09:40 UTC | 21% |
| 18 Oct, 09:08 UTC | 21% |
| 18 Oct, 08:27 UTC | 21% |
| 18 Oct, 06:37 UTC | 23% |
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| 18 Oct, 03:36 UTC | 22% |
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| 17 Oct, 23:58 UTC | 23% |
| 17 Oct, 23:22 UTC | 21% |
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| 17 Oct, 19:44 UTC | 21% |
| 17 Oct, 19:25 UTC | 21% |
| 17 Oct, 18:50 UTC | 20% |
| 17 Oct, 18:29 UTC | 22% |
| 17 Oct, 16:09 UTC | 21% |
| 17 Oct, 15:15 UTC | 21% |
| 17 Oct, 14:54 UTC | 21% |
| 17 Oct, 14:27 UTC | 21% |
| 17 Oct, 13:09 UTC | 21% |
| 17 Oct, 11:53 UTC | 22% |
| 17 Oct, 10:19 UTC | 22% |
| 17 Oct, 09:19 UTC | 23% |
| 17 Oct, 06:41 UTC | 22% |
| 17 Oct, 05:35 UTC | 23% |
| 17 Oct, 05:29 UTC | 22% |
| 17 Oct, 03:10 UTC | 22% |
| 17 Oct, 02:49 UTC | 23% |
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| 17 Oct, 00:38 UTC | 22% |
| 17 Oct, 00:10 UTC | 23% |
| 16 Oct, 23:16 UTC | 22% |
| 16 Oct, 22:55 UTC | 20% |
| 16 Oct, 22:09 UTC | 22% |
| 16 Oct, 21:02 UTC | 22% |
| 16 Oct, 20:55 UTC | 21% |
| 16 Oct, 20:28 UTC | 22% |
| 16 Oct, 19:13 UTC | 23% |
| 16 Oct, 17:29 UTC | 21% |
| 16 Oct, 15:31 UTC | 22% |
| 16 Oct, 14:45 UTC | 23% |
| 16 Oct, 14:08 UTC | 22% |
| 16 Oct, 13:38 UTC | 24% |
| 16 Oct, 12:19 UTC | 22% |
| 16 Oct, 11:09 UTC | 24% |
| 16 Oct, 10:42 UTC | 22% |
| 16 Oct, 10:14 UTC | 21% |
| 16 Oct, 09:33 UTC | 22% |
| 16 Oct, 08:40 UTC | 21% |
| 16 Oct, 08:13 UTC | 22% |
| 16 Oct, 05:28 UTC | 21% |
| 16 Oct, 04:56 UTC | 21% |
| 16 Oct, 02:55 UTC | 21% |
| 16 Oct, 02:23 UTC | 22% |
| 16 Oct, 01:42 UTC | 22% |
| 16 Oct, 01:22 UTC | 21% |
| 16 Oct, 00:55 UTC | 20% |
| 16 Oct, 00:28 UTC | 22% |
| 15 Oct, 23:56 UTC | 21% |
| 15 Oct, 22:29 UTC | 20% |
| 15 Oct, 21:34 UTC | 21% |
| 15 Oct, 21:27 UTC | 21% |
| 15 Oct, 20:59 UTC | 21% |
| 15 Oct, 20:24 UTC | 21% |
| 15 Oct, 19:28 UTC | 20% |
| 15 Oct, 18:13 UTC | 20% |
| 15 Oct, 17:32 UTC | 21% |
| 15 Oct, 17:18 UTC | 22% |
| 15 Oct, 15:52 UTC | 22% |
| 15 Oct, 14:57 UTC | 21% |
| 15 Oct, 14:27 UTC | 22% |
| 15 Oct, 13:59 UTC | 21% |
| 15 Oct, 13:17 UTC | 21% |
| 15 Oct, 12:30 UTC | 22% |
| 15 Oct, 11:20 UTC | 21% |
| 15 Oct, 10:38 UTC | 21% |
| 15 Oct, 09:23 UTC | 22% |
| 15 Oct, 07:00 UTC | 22% |
| 15 Oct, 06:46 UTC | 20% |
| 15 Oct, 06:01 UTC | 22% |
| 15 Oct, 05:54 UTC | 23% |
| 15 Oct, 04:42 UTC | 22% |
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| 15 Oct, 03:48 UTC | 22% |
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| 15 Oct, 02:43 UTC | 21% |
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| 15 Oct, 01:55 UTC | 22% |
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| 15 Oct, 00:51 UTC | 23% |
| 15 Oct, 00:29 UTC | 22% |
| 14 Oct, 23:55 UTC | 21% |
| 14 Oct, 22:45 UTC | 22% |
| 14 Oct, 21:56 UTC | 22% |
| 14 Oct, 21:27 UTC | 22% |
| 14 Oct, 20:59 UTC | 18% |
| 14 Oct, 20:18 UTC | 18% |
| 14 Oct, 19:50 UTC | 20% |
| 14 Oct, 19:21 UTC | 19% |
| 14 Oct, 18:55 UTC | 19% |
| 14 Oct, 18:20 UTC | 20% |
| 14 Oct, 16:49 UTC | 21% |
| 14 Oct, 16:23 UTC | 19% |
| 14 Oct, 15:39 UTC | 22% |
| 14 Oct, 14:31 UTC | 22% |
| 14 Oct, 14:23 UTC | 21% |
| 14 Oct, 13:40 UTC | 19% |
| 14 Oct, 13:05 UTC | 22% |
| 14 Oct, 12:19 UTC | 20% |
| 14 Oct, 11:59 UTC | 22% |
| 14 Oct, 11:03 UTC | 22% |
| 14 Oct, 10:36 UTC | 21% |
| 14 Oct, 07:23 UTC | 20% |
| 14 Oct, 06:56 UTC | 19% |
| 14 Oct, 06:09 UTC | 21% |
| 14 Oct, 05:56 UTC | 20% |
| 14 Oct, 04:27 UTC | 21% |
| 14 Oct, 03:15 UTC | 21% |
| 14 Oct, 02:42 UTC | 19% |
| 14 Oct, 02:29 UTC | 20% |
| 14 Oct, 01:55 UTC | 19% |
| 14 Oct, 01:21 UTC | 21% |
| 14 Oct, 00:00 UTC | 21% |
| 13 Oct, 23:39 UTC | 22% |
| 13 Oct, 23:06 UTC | 21% |
| 13 Oct, 22:59 UTC | 21% |
| 13 Oct, 21:37 UTC | 20% |
| 13 Oct, 21:24 UTC | 18% |
| 13 Oct, 18:22 UTC | 20% |
| 13 Oct, 17:07 UTC | 19% |
| 13 Oct, 10:44 UTC | 21% |
| 13 Oct, 09:26 UTC | 22% |
| 13 Oct, 08:14 UTC | 21% |
| 13 Oct, 05:48 UTC | 23% |
| 13 Oct, 04:34 UTC | 24% |
| 12 Oct, 23:40 UTC | 20% |
| 12 Oct, 22:27 UTC | 19% |
| 12 Oct, 21:11 UTC | 18% |
| 12 Oct, 18:40 UTC | 20% |
| 12 Oct, 16:19 UTC | 19% |
| 12 Oct, 15:07 UTC | 22% |
| 12 Oct, 12:43 UTC | 21% |
| 11 Oct, 12:33 UTC | 80% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Real Madrid respond.
The story so far
4 publishers have covered this in 4 articles since 18 Oct 2026. BBC Sport published first, on 18 October at 21:39 UTC; SI Feed followed 1h 47m later. The most recent article, from SkySports, appeared on 19 October at 06:25 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), BBC Sport, SI Feed, SkySports.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Real Madrid — resolved “Yes” on 25 Oct 2026. Real Madrid must win the La Liga match against Barcelona within the standard 90 minutes of play, including any added stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shootouts do not count toward the result. Readers often mistake the final score after extra time as the deciding factor.
- Real Madrid — the market puts it at 25%, with $108k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 7 Jun 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Real Madrid wins the 2026-27 La Liga title. It resolves to No if they do not. Readers often mistake the date of a single match, like the recent loss to Barcelona, for the final championship outcome.
- Kylian Mbappe leaves before Jan 1, 2027 — the market puts it at 7%, with $35 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Kylian Mbappe transfers out of Real Madrid before January 1, 2027. It resolves to No if he remains at the club past that date. Readers often mistake his injury status or national team availability for a transfer.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Real Madrid at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- BBC SportMbappe scores twice as Real Madrid beat Sevilla22%
- SI FeedReal Madrid recupera la sonrisa tras golear 4-1 al Sevilla con doblete de Mbappé22%▲1 points since the previous source
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraMbappe scores two, Guler one, as Real Madrid find form before El Clasico25%▲3 points since the previous source
- SkySportsMbappe stars with amazing goal and Panenka penalty as Real thump Sevilla25%
- Market resolved: Yes
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Mbappe scores two, Guler one, as Real Madrid find form before El Clasico Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Mbappe stars with amazing goal and Panenka penalty as Real thump Sevilla SkySports
- Real Madrid recupera la sonrisa tras golear 4-1 al Sevilla con doblete de Mbappé SI Feed
- Mbappe scores twice as Real Madrid beat Sevilla BBC Sport
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Resolved Real Madrid Yes 12d ago
The market favoured No at 73% a day out, but Yes won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Real Madrid 25% +6
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Kylian Mbappe leaves before Jan 1, 2027 7% −2
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
In this story
- Real Madrid
- Sevilla
- Kylian Mbappe
- Barcelona