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Martin McDonagh Calls 'Wild Horse Nine' His Most Political Film

The director states the movie rejects artistic neutrality while speaking at the Zurich Film Festival.

1 publisher · 1 article · first seen 27 Sept 2026 · updated 41d ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked article; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

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The odds

How the odds moved · Martin McDonagh
0%50%100%69%26 Sept, 12:24 UTCnowVariety: Martin McDonagh Jokes About His Past – as a Hitman – and Calls ‘Wild Horse Nine’ His Most Political Film: ‘There’s Too Much Artistic Neutrality and Too Much Saying Nothing’ · 27 Sept, 11:54 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now69%
28 Sept, 19:18 UTC69%
27 Sept, 19:05 UTC62%
27 Sept, 12:39 UTC69%
26 Sept, 12:24 UTC70%

The story so far

1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 27 Sept 2026. Variety published first, on 27 September at 11:54 UTC.

3 prediction markets price this story:

  • Martin McDonagh — the market puts it at 69%, with $7 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Dec 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Martin McDonagh receives a nomination for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the announcement of his film's political themes or general critical acclaim as sufficient for a Yes outcome.
  • Wild Horse Nine — the market puts it at 84%, closing 31 Dec 2027. The outcome is Yes if Wild Horse Nine receives a nomination for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the release of the film or critical acclaim for the official nomination list.
  • Wild Horse Nine — the market puts it at 90%, closing 31 Dec 2027. The market resolves to Yes if the film *Wild Horse Nine* receives a nomination for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the release date or critical acclaim for the official criterion; only the formal Oscar nomination list matters.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Martin McDonagh Jokes About His Past – as a Hitman – and Calls ‘Wild Horse Nine’ His Most Political Film: ‘There’s Too Much Artistic Neutrality and Too Much Saying Nothing’ Variety ·

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

  • Kalshi Martin McDonagh 69% +7 $7 24hends 31 Dec 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Wild Horse Nine 84% $0 24hends 31 Dec 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Wild Horse Nine 90% $0 24hends 31 Dec 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

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In this story

  • Martin McDonagh
  • Wild Horse Nine
  • Zurich Film Festival
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