Man Who Walked From Chile Since 1998 Returns to UK
Karl Bushby completes his nearly three-decade journey on foot from southern Chile to the United Kingdom.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 26 Oct, 01:02 UTC | 99% |
| 24 Oct, 16:40 UTC | 95% |
| 20 Oct, 10:35 UTC | 96% |
| 4 Oct, 19:07 UTC | 94% |
| 29 Sept, 20:49 UTC | 95% |
| 24 Sept, 03:00 UTC | 97% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 25 Sept 2026. News Feed published first, on 25 September at 04:00 UTC; South China Morning Post followed 7h 00m later. The most recent article, from South China Morning Post, appeared on 25 September at 11:00 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: News Feed (major outlet), South China Morning Post.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Before 2030 — resolved “Yes” on 2 Nov 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Karl Bushby arrives in Hull, England, before January 1, 2030. It resolves to No if he does not reach that specific destination by that date. Readers often mistake the start of his walk for the deadline or assume any arrival in the UK counts instead of just Hull.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Resolved Before 2030 Yes 4d ago
The market favoured Yes at 99% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
In this story
- Karl Bushby
- Chile
- United Kingdom