Macron secures extra diesel from UAE and Bahrain amid fuel crisis

The French president secured additional monthly deliveries to ease domestic unrest while visiting Riyadh for a surprise solidarity meeting with the Crown Prince.

2 publishers · 12 articles · first seen 19 Oct 2026 · updated 17d ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

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The odds

How the odds moved · Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data

Time	Chance of yes
now	2%
23 Oct, 08:00 UTC	2%
23 Oct, 07:54 UTC	2%
23 Oct, 07:26 UTC	2%
23 Oct, 06:53 UTC	2%
23 Oct, 05:18 UTC	2%
23 Oct, 04:24 UTC	2%
23 Oct, 03:53 UTC	2%
23 Oct, 02:33 UTC	2%
23 Oct, 01:18 UTC	2%
23 Oct, 00:55 UTC	2%
23 Oct, 00:28 UTC	2%
22 Oct, 20:48 UTC	2%
22 Oct, 20:20 UTC	2%
22 Oct, 19:52 UTC	2%
22 Oct, 19:23 UTC	2%
22 Oct, 18:49 UTC	2%
22 Oct, 18:27 UTC	2%
22 Oct, 17:45 UTC	2%
22 Oct, 16:54 UTC	1%
22 Oct, 16:26 UTC	1%
22 Oct, 15:57 UTC	1%
22 Oct, 14:24 UTC	1%
22 Oct, 13:49 UTC	1%
22 Oct, 12:29 UTC	1%
22 Oct, 11:53 UTC	1%
22 Oct, 11:22 UTC	1%
22 Oct, 10:53 UTC	1%
22 Oct, 03:30 UTC	1%
22 Oct, 03:23 UTC	1%
22 Oct, 01:44 UTC	1%
21 Oct, 18:41 UTC	1%
21 Oct, 15:53 UTC	1%
21 Oct, 15:17 UTC	1%
21 Oct, 14:55 UTC	1%
21 Oct, 13:33 UTC	1%
21 Oct, 13:26 UTC	1%
21 Oct, 12:56 UTC	1%
21 Oct, 12:07 UTC	1%
21 Oct, 11:53 UTC	1%
21 Oct, 06:09 UTC	1%
21 Oct, 00:56 UTC	1%
20 Oct, 20:10 UTC	1%
20 Oct, 19:41 UTC	1%
20 Oct, 19:14 UTC	1%
20 Oct, 08:44 UTC	1%
20 Oct, 05:47 UTC	1%
19 Oct, 03:30 UTC	2%
19 Oct, 03:16 UTC	2%
19 Oct, 02:49 UTC	2%
19 Oct, 02:29 UTC	2%
19 Oct, 01:54 UTC	2%
19 Oct, 01:26 UTC	2%
19 Oct, 00:58 UTC	3%
19 Oct, 00:04 UTC	3%
18 Oct, 23:57 UTC	3%
18 Oct, 22:21 UTC	3%
18 Oct, 21:48 UTC	3%
18 Oct, 20:53 UTC	3%
18 Oct, 20:06 UTC	3%
18 Oct, 19:59 UTC	3%
18 Oct, 19:10 UTC	3%
18 Oct, 18:57 UTC	3%
18 Oct, 18:29 UTC	3%
18 Oct, 17:59 UTC	4%
18 Oct, 17:24 UTC	4%
18 Oct, 16:38 UTC	2%
18 Oct, 16:24 UTC	2%
18 Oct, 15:08 UTC	2%
18 Oct, 14:55 UTC	2%
18 Oct, 11:40 UTC	1%
18 Oct, 07:28 UTC	1%
17 Oct, 11:40 UTC	1%
17 Oct, 05:02 UTC	1%
16 Oct, 21:49 UTC	1%
16 Oct, 21:23 UTC	1%
16 Oct, 20:55 UTC	1%
16 Oct, 19:48 UTC	1%
16 Oct, 18:52 UTC	1%
16 Oct, 18:24 UTC	1%
16 Oct, 17:36 UTC	1%
16 Oct, 17:29 UTC	1%
16 Oct, 16:53 UTC	1%
16 Oct, 16:20 UTC	1%
16 Oct, 15:59 UTC	1%
16 Oct, 15:24 UTC	2%
16 Oct, 13:31 UTC	1%
16 Oct, 13:24 UTC	1%
16 Oct, 12:49 UTC	1%
16 Oct, 12:26 UTC	1%
16 Oct, 11:58 UTC	1%
16 Oct, 11:09 UTC	2%
16 Oct, 10:55 UTC	1%
16 Oct, 10:28 UTC	1%
16 Oct, 09:47 UTC	1%
16 Oct, 09:06 UTC	1%
16 Oct, 04:01 UTC	1%
15 Oct, 22:42 UTC	2%
15 Oct, 22:29 UTC	2%
15 Oct, 15:52 UTC	1%
14 Oct, 08:09 UTC	1%
13 Oct, 23:33 UTC	1%
13 Oct, 23:25 UTC	1%
13 Oct, 22:38 UTC	2%
13 Oct, 22:25 UTC	1%
13 Oct, 21:51 UTC	1%
13 Oct, 21:17 UTC	1%
13 Oct, 20:56 UTC	1%
13 Oct, 19:18 UTC	1%
13 Oct, 18:57 UTC	1%
13 Oct, 06:14 UTC	1%
13 Oct, 05:15 UTC	1%
13 Oct, 04:54 UTC	1%
8 Oct, 12:31 UTC	0%
8 Oct, 12:09 UTC	0%
8 Oct, 08:42 UTC	0%
8 Oct, 07:45 UTC	1%
8 Oct, 07:13 UTC	1%
8 Oct, 06:46 UTC	1%
8 Oct, 06:18 UTC	1%
8 Oct, 05:58 UTC	1%
8 Oct, 05:23 UTC	1%
8 Oct, 00:27 UTC	1%
7 Oct, 22:32 UTC	1%
7 Oct, 19:06 UTC	1%
7 Oct, 18:20 UTC	1%
7 Oct, 17:52 UTC	1%
7 Oct, 17:23 UTC	1%
7 Oct, 16:55 UTC	1%
7 Oct, 16:15 UTC	1%
7 Oct, 15:48 UTC	1%
7 Oct, 15:24 UTC	1%
7 Oct, 14:55 UTC	1%
7 Oct, 14:19 UTC	1%
7 Oct, 12:26 UTC	1%
7 Oct, 11:59 UTC	1%
7 Oct, 11:10 UTC	1%
7 Oct, 10:57 UTC	1%
7 Oct, 10:29 UTC	1%
7 Oct, 09:48 UTC	2%
7 Oct, 09:24 UTC	2%
7 Oct, 08:40 UTC	2%
6 Oct, 06:07 UTC	0%
23 Sept, 20:55 UTC	1%
23 Sept, 19:21 UTC	1%
23 Sept, 18:25 UTC	1%
23 Sept, 17:59 UTC	1%
23 Sept, 17:25 UTC	1%
23 Sept, 16:49 UTC	1%
23 Sept, 16:19 UTC	1%
23 Sept, 11:51 UTC	1%
23 Sept, 11:13 UTC	1%
23 Sept, 10:50 UTC	1%
23 Sept, 10:17 UTC	1%
23 Sept, 01:27 UTC	1%
23 Sept, 00:54 UTC	1%
22 Sept, 22:00 UTC	1%
22 Sept, 21:46 UTC	1%
22 Sept, 20:35 UTC	1%
22 Sept, 20:28 UTC	1%
22 Sept, 17:20 UTC	1%
22 Sept, 16:28 UTC	1%
22 Sept, 15:48 UTC	1%
22 Sept, 06:33 UTC	1%
22 Sept, 00:32 UTC	1%
21 Sept, 19:28 UTC	1%
21 Sept, 15:42 UTC	1%
21 Sept, 15:29 UTC	1%
21 Sept, 14:42 UTC	1%
21 Sept, 14:14 UTC	1%
21 Sept, 13:32 UTC	1%
21 Sept, 13:24 UTC	1%
21 Sept, 12:49 UTC	1%
21 Sept, 12:23 UTC	1%
20 Sept, 17:59 UTC	1%
20 Sept, 17:29 UTC	1%
20 Sept, 16:29 UTC	1%
20 Sept, 15:55 UTC	1%
20 Sept, 15:28 UTC	1%
20 Sept, 01:44 UTC	0%
19 Sept, 01:44 UTC	1%

The story so far

2 publishers have covered this in 12 articles since 19 Oct 2026. France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines published first, on 19 October at 12:43 UTC; Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera followed 27h 50m later. The most recent article, from France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines, appeared on 21 October at 17:09 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines.

3 prediction markets price this story:

Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027? — the market puts it at 2%, with $1k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. Yes resolves if Emmanuel Macron permanently leaves his office before December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. No resolves if he remains in power through that deadline or serves only as a caretaker. Readers often mistake temporary suspensions or resignation announcements for permanent removal.
Saudi Arabia — the market puts it at 13%, with $213 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. For the outcome "Yes," Donald Trump must physically travel to and be present within Saudi Arabia's geographic boundaries after the market's issuance date and before January 1, 2027. For the outcome "No," this specific physical presence does not occur within that timeframe.
Macron out by December 31, 2026? — the market puts it at 4%, with $145 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Emmanuel Macron stops being President of France at any point before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves to No if he remains in office through that deadline. Readers often mistake temporary absences or fuel supply deals for a change in presidency.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

Show 6 more sources

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

Polymarket Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027? 2% $1k 24hends 1 Jan 2027
Does the market have this right?

Wrong market?

What's wrong
Kalshi Saudi Arabia 13% $213 24hends 1 Jan 2027
Does the market have this right?

Wrong market?

What's wrong
Polymarket Macron out by December 31, 2026? 4% −1 $145 24hends 1 Jan 2027
Does the market have this right?

Wrong market?

What's wrong

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In this story

Emmanuel Macron
Saudi Arabia
United Arab Emirates
Bahrain

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