Libya Summons US Diplomat After Trump Calls Country 'Terror-Infested'
Libya has summoned a senior US diplomat to protest President Donald Trump's description of the nation as 'terror-infested' during a recent rally.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 1 Nov, 01:38 UTC | 1% |
| 31 Oct, 18:55 UTC | 13% |
| 31 Oct, 18:19 UTC | 7% |
| 31 Oct, 15:37 UTC | 4% |
| 31 Oct, 06:57 UTC | 5% |
| 31 Oct, 04:07 UTC | 6% |
| 31 Oct, 03:52 UTC | 7% |
| 31 Oct, 03:08 UTC | 9% |
| 30 Oct, 16:39 UTC | 13% |
| 30 Oct, 11:31 UTC | 12% |
| 29 Oct, 15:22 UTC | 9% |
| 29 Oct, 14:47 UTC | 10% |
| 29 Oct, 13:46 UTC | 9% |
| 29 Oct, 11:47 UTC | 17% |
| 28 Oct, 23:40 UTC | 27% |
| 27 Oct, 03:05 UTC | 25% |
| 26 Oct, 12:25 UTC | 18% |
| 25 Oct, 23:35 UTC | 21% |
| 25 Oct, 17:10 UTC | 22% |
| 23 Oct, 20:28 UTC | 20% |
| 22 Oct, 15:57 UTC | 19% |
| 21 Oct, 18:27 UTC | 21% |
| 20 Oct, 12:31 UTC | 33% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 26 Oct 2026. businessinsider.com published first, on 26 October at 06:40 UTC; The Hill followed 6h 50m later. The most recent article, from The Hill, appeared on 26 October at 13:30 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The Hill (major outlet), businessinsider.com.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- South Africa / South African — resolved “No” on 1 Nov 2026. The outcome is Yes if Donald Trump mentions South Africa or a related term after October 1, 2026, and before November 1, 2026. The outcome is No if he does not mention it during that specific window. Readers often mistake the date of the linked news story for the relevant timeframe instead of the future resolution period.
- Israel — the market puts it at 8%, closing 1 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if Donald Trump physically travels to and stays inside Israel between now and January 1, 2027. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the linked news story about arms sales for the resolution criteria, but only Trump's physical presence matters.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Resolved South Africa / South African No 6d ago
The market favoured No at 95% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Israel 8%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Donald Trump
- Libya